Nice vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens looks to revive their slim title aspirations this weekend when they travel to relegation-threatened Nice. After 31 rounds of play, Nice are 15th in the standings, while Lens are second. Let's have a look at our prediction for the match.
Nice are looking to move further away from the relegation zone and secure their place for next season’s Ligue 1 campaign. The Eagles are five points clear of the drop going into the final three games of the campaign.
They have accumulated 30 points and have won seven fixtures while sharing the spoils on nine other occasions. Recently, Claude Puel’s men have been growing in confidence and have avoided defeat in four consecutive games.
Nice, who plays Lens next month in the Coupe de France final, drew 1-1 with Marseille last weekend.
Lens are mathematically still in the title race and have fate in their hands. If they can manage to win their remaining four fixtures, then Les Sang et Or will be crowned Ligue 1 champions for the first time since 1997/98.
Lens sit six points off the pace and still have a mouthwatering clash with league leaders PSG lined up. Pierre Sage’s men have racked up 63 points after winning 20 games and drawing three more.
They are six points ahead of their closest challengers and are already assured of a place in Europe. Lens, who defeated Nice 2-0 in the reverse game, haven’t lost in four games. They drew 3-3 at Brest last time out, seeing a three-match winning run come to an end.
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Nice v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.6 | 4.2 | 1.72 |
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|
|
4.6 | 4.1 | 1.69 |
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|
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4.6 | 4.1 | 1.69 |
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|
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4 | 3.9 | 1.65 |
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4.5 | 3.95 | 1.7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lens?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Lens match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Nice and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.93% for a win of Nice against Lens with odds of 4.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lens is 40.07% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Nice with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
Nice - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.07% | 4.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.76% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time: Nice / Full-time: Draw | 17.53% | 15 at LSbet |
Nice vs Lens Form
Nice and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 |
Nice and Lens Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - French Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - French Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Nice vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Nice against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Dupe
DefenderDante
A. Abdi
T. Ndombele
C. Vanhoutte
G. Bernardeau
I. Jansson
S. Abdul Samed
Kevin Carlos
M. Gorgelin
DefenderR. Aguilar
F. Sylla
A. Bulatovic
A. Haidara
ForwardA. Sima
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
W. Said
Missing players
M. Abdelmoneim
M. Bombito
MidfielderEverton
R. Gurtner
DefenderA. Masuaku
J. Gradit
K. Antonio
Most goals and assists
Nice - Lens Key Points
- Nice have failed to win seven of their last 10 matches, losing four times.
- Lens have won six of their last 10 fixtures.
- Nice have lost 15 league games.
- Through 31 league matches, Lens have scored 60 goals.
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Our Nice vs Lens Prediction
Our prediction for Nice v Lens is that Lens wins. This match sees two teams that are fighting it out on opposite ends of the Ligue 1 table clash. Lens are in the title race, while Nice are looking to avoid relegation.
It will be a tough match for both, but we have Lens as favorites to win. They are and have been in better form than their hosts. Wins haven’t eluded them as they have Nice, and they are also one of the more potent sides in the league.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lens
| Nice vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 4.32 | 4.78 | +10.6% |
| Draw | 4.27 | 4.3 | +0.7% |
| Lens wins | 1.82 | 1.75 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.4% and is now 23.3% (-0.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.