Nice vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Nice
02/05/2026 15:05
Lens

Prediction :

 

Lens wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lens looks to revive their slim title aspirations this weekend when they travel to relegation-threatened Nice. After 31 rounds of play, Nice are 15th in the standings, while Lens are second. Let's have a look at our prediction for the match.

Nice are looking to move further away from the relegation zone and secure their place for next season’s Ligue 1 campaign. The Eagles are five points clear of the drop going into the final three games of the campaign.

They have accumulated 30 points and have won seven fixtures while sharing the spoils on nine other occasions. Recently, Claude Puel’s men have been growing in confidence and have avoided defeat in four consecutive games.

Nice, who plays Lens next month in the Coupe de France final, drew 1-1 with Marseille last weekend.

Lens are mathematically still in the title race and have fate in their hands. If they can manage to win their remaining four fixtures, then Les Sang et Or will be crowned Ligue 1 champions for the first time since 1997/98.

Lens sit six points off the pace and still have a mouthwatering clash with league leaders PSG lined up. Pierre Sage’s men have racked up 63 points after winning 20 games and drawing three more.

They are six points ahead of their closest challengers and are already assured of a place in Europe. Lens, who defeated Nice 2-0 in the reverse game, haven’t lost in four games. They drew 3-3 at Brest last time out, seeing a three-match winning run come to an end.

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Nice v Lens Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.6 4.2 1.72
Melbet
4.6 4.1 1.69
Betwinner
4.6 4.1 1.69
Bet365
4 3.9 1.65
Roobet
4.5 3.95 1.7
Check all Nice vs Lens odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lens?

Our prediction for the Nice vs Lens match is: Lens wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Nice and Lens in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.93% for a win of Nice against Lens with odds of 4.78 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lens is 40.07% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Nice with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.

Nice - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:

Nice Lens Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 40.07% 4.3 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 63.76% 1.6 at Betway
Both Team To Score 54.58%
Half-time: Nice / Full-time: Draw 17.53% 15 at LSbet

Nice vs Lens Form

Nice and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Lens
70 34 22 4 8 +31
16 Nice
32 34 7 11 16 -23

Nice and Lens Last Matches

Nice
Nice Last matches
L L D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Nice

22 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Strasbourg
0 :  2
Nice

18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  0
Nice

12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Le Havre

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Nice

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
PSG
W D D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Le Havre

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
PSG

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
Rennes

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Nice
3 :  2
Montpellier Hsc
D W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Nice

22 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Strasbourg
0 :  2
Nice

18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  0
Nice

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Nice

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  2
Nice

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
0 :  0
Nice
Lens
Lens Last matches
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  0
Lens

20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
5 :  1
Angers

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Lens
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse

20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
5 :  1
Angers

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Metz

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  3
Monaco

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  1
Rennes
W D D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  0
Lens

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Lens

5 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lyon
2 :  2
Lens

27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Lens

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens

Nice vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nice

67 %

Draw

17 %

Lens

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  0
Nice

8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  0
Lens

28 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  0
Nice

16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Nice

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  0
Lens

1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  1
Nice

Nice against Lens Lineups: Starting 11

Nice

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

80
Y. Diouf
33
A. Mendy
28
A. Bah
37
K. Oppong
20
T. Louchet
32
K. Boudache
6
H. Boudaoui
8
M. Sanson
26
M. Bard
10
S. Diop
25
M. Cho
11
O. Edouard
9
A. Saint-Maximin
10
F. Thauvin
14
M. Udol
28
A. Thomasson
8
M. Sangare
23
S. Abdulhamid
20
M. Sarr
6
S. Baidoo
25
I. Ganiou
40
R. Risser

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lens

Substitutes

Nice
Nice
Goalkeeper

M. Dupe

Defender

Dante

A. Abdi

K. Boudache 71'

Midfielder

T. Ndombele

C. Vanhoutte

H. Boudaoui 90'

G. Bernardeau

I. Jansson

M. Cho 71'

S. Abdul Samed

M. Sanson 72'

Forward

Kevin Carlos

S. Diop 90'

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

M. Gorgelin

Defender

R. Aguilar

F. Thauvin 86'

Midfielder

F. Sylla

A. Bulatovic

A. Haidara

Forward

A. Sima

O. Edouard 77'

R. Fofana

F. Sotoca

W. Said

Missing players

Nice
Nice
Defender

M. Abdelmoneim

M. Bombito

Midfielder

Everton

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

R. Gurtner

Defender

A. Masuaku

J. Gradit

K. Antonio

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nice
CD Huachipato Lens
Top Goalscorer
Morocco S. Diop (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France W. Said (12 Goals) Haiti O. Edouard (12 Goals)
Best assists
France J. Clauss (5 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Thomasson (10 Assists)

Nice - Lens Key Points

  1. Nice have failed to win seven of their last 10 matches, losing four times.
  2. Lens have won six of their last 10 fixtures.
  3. Nice have lost 15 league games.
  4. Through 31 league matches, Lens have scored 60 goals.
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Our Nice vs Lens Prediction

Our prediction for Nice v Lens is that Lens wins. This match sees two teams that are fighting it out on opposite ends of the Ligue 1 table clash. Lens are in the title race, while Nice are looking to avoid relegation. 

It will be a tough match for both, but we have Lens as favorites to win. They are and have been in better form than their hosts. Wins haven’t eluded them as they have Nice, and they are also one of the more potent sides in the league. 

Prediction :

 

Lens wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lens

Nice vs Lens Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nice wins 4.32 4.78 +10.6%
Draw 4.27 4.3 +0.7%
Lens wins 1.82 1.75 -3.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.4% and is now 23.3% (-0.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nice vs Lens Prediction