Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
St. James’ Park will burst into life on Sunday for the first Premier League fixture of the 2026-27 season - it’s Newcastle United taking on Liverpool. Ten goals were scored in the two matches between these sides last season, and our prediction is that both sides will get on the scoresheet in this one as well.
It has been a summer of massive change on Tyneside, with the Magpies set to kick off the new season under the guidance of Matthias Jaissle, who replaced Eddie Howe as manager last month. Additionally, with no European football on the cards this term after finishing 12th last season, the Geordies have also seen a handful of their star players depart during the transfer window.
The Reds also have a new boss at the helm in Andoni Iraola following the somewhat surprising sacking of Arne Slot after the side finished fifth last season. This week’s visitors won both league games against this opponent last term, but can they kick off this season with another three points? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Newcastle v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.85 | 3.95 | 1.9 |
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3.94 | 4.11 | 1.93 |
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3.8 | 3.96 | 1.86 |
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3.64 | 3.92 | 1.91 |
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3.8 | 3.96 | 1.86 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Liverpool match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2026 between Newcastle and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.89% for a win of Newcastle against Liverpool with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Liverpool is 12.11% with odds of 4.11 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Newcastle with odds of 2.1 at LSbet.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Form
Newcastle and Liverpool Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Perhaps understandably, concerns are growing among the Toon Army, as Newcastle United ended the pre-season with three consecutive defeats to Everton, Bayer Leverkusen and Strasbourg.
The end of last season was similarly uninspiring, with the side losing five of their final eight league games (W2 D1) and conceding two or more goals in all but one defeat during that period.
The Magpies earned 32 points from their 19 home league games last season (W10 D2 L7), but conceded 30 goals at this venue across the campaign - more than relegated West Ham and Burnley.
Newcastle are winless in their last nine home league matches against Liverpool!
Liverpool played six matches in pre-season and had a mixed bag of results, notching up three wins, a draw, and two defeats. They scored 11 goals and conceded nine across those six matches.
The Reds failed to win any of their final four league fixtures last term, drawing against Brentford and Chelsea (both 1-1), while losing to Aston Villa (4-2) and arch-rivals Manchester United (3-2).
Notably, Liverpool’s away form was very poor last season. They lost seven of their final nine away games across all competitions (W2) and had the 10th-best record on the road in the top flight (W7 D3 L9).
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Missing players
T. Livramento
ForwardJoelinton
V. Jaros
DefenderJ. Gomez
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderC. Jones
ForwardH. Ekitike
Newcastle & Liverpool Squad Analysis
As mentioned, Newcastle have seen several high-profile departures over the summer, including that of their two central midfielders Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes, as well as attacker Anthony Gordon.
Adding to concerns in the engine room was confirmation from Jaissel that Joelinton is out for a few weeks with a groin issue, meaning at least one of the team’s new signings, Sean Steur or Aladji Bamba, is likely to make their full debut in this match.
Tino Livramento is still out after sustaining a calf injury at the World Cup. William Osula is likely to operate in the number 10 role, but the new boss will have a big call to make at number nine between Nick Woltemade and Yoanne Wissa.
Can Alexander Isak make an impact for Liverpool against his former employers?
The Swiss international missed both league games against the Magpies through injury last season, but he logged good minutes during pre-season and is almost a guaranteed starter this week, with Hugo Ekitike still on the road to recovery.
Iraola has several other injury absentees to contend with as well, including Conor Bradley (knee), Giovanni Leoni (knee) and Joe Gomez (muscle). Curtis Jones is also a major doubt after sustaining a hip issue during pre-season.
The biggest change for the Reds heading into this match is that Mohamed Salah will no longer be bombing down the right flank following his move to Turkey. Teenage starlet Rio Ngumoha is expected to try and fill the void left by the Egyptian King.
Newcastle - Liverpool Key Points
- Seven of Newcastle’s last 10 league games ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in their final six pre-season matches.
- Nine of Liverpool’s last 10 league games ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool and Newcastle averaged 1.39 and 1.45 goals conceded per league game last season.
- Both sides have scored in six of the last seven matches between these teams in all competitions.
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Our Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction
Newcastle had a forgettable 2025-26 season, and while they will be hoping for much better this term, there are still plenty of concerns for the Toon Army, given the number of player sales over the summer and injuries they are currently dealing with.
Liverpool are also missing a handful of players coming into this season opener, and it will be interesting to see how they fare post Mo Salah. We’re steering clear of the 1x2 market for our main prediction, but we do fancy both teams to get on the scoresheet in this match. Our Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction is BTTS.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Liverpool wins
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Newcastle vs Liverpool - FAQs
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
