Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Only once before have Brighton and Hove Albion qualified for European competitions. They are sixth in the Premier League with only four games to play and this weekend travel to 14th-placed Newcastle United. The Seagulls are on a good run of form at present and that is something that most certainly cannot be written about the home side in this Premier League fixture. Read more in our match prediction.
The Magpies are in danger of failing to qualify for Europe next season. That would be a massive step backwards for the club after their UCL campaign this season. It would possibly also spell the end of the reign of Eddie Howe.
The local museum in Brighton held an exhibition about the one time the Seagulls played in Europe. They may well need to start work on another one if Albion can continue their good form and again qualify for European competition next season. Can they continue their good form against Newcastle?
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Newcastle v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.71 | 3.56 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.6 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.8 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.6 | 2.46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Brighton match is: Brighton wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Newcastle and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.09% for a win of Newcastle against Brighton with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brighton is 19.21% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Newcastle with odds of 2.69 at 888Starz.
Newcastle - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 56.7% | 2.69 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.53% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 24.79% | 7 at LSbet |
Newcastle vs Brighton Form
Newcastle and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Newcastle and Brighton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brighton: Form Analysis
Newcastle United have lost their last five games in all competitions. The Magpies have slumped to 14th in the Premier League and are seven points adrift of seventh place. They are only eight points above the relegation zone so they really need to get a positive result here.
United need to end their losing run.
United's last four Premier League games have all been lost, most recently being defeated 1-0 at Arsenal last weekend. Their last two home league games have been lost to Sunderland and Bournemouth. Their last home win was at the start of March against Manchester United.
Brighton and Hove Albion tend to blow hot and cold. They can go on good unbeaten runs and then struggle to get a victory for weeks. It's the former at present with the Seagulls earning 13 points from their last five league matches.
Their most recent league game saw them beat Chelsea 3-0 at home. Only one of their last eight games has been lost and that was away at leaders Arsenal. On the road this season, Brighton have won five league games but have won three of the last four.
Brighton have a good record against their opponents. The reverse fixture this season saw them win 2-1 to extend their unbeaten run against Newcastle to six games and won twice away against them last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Newcastle against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderL. Hall
K. Trippier
MidfielderJ. Ramsey
Y. Wissa
H. Barnes
A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
A. Gordon
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
Igor
L. Dunk
J. Veltman
M. O'Riley
Y. Ayari
ForwardG. Rutter
C. Kostoulas
Missing players
F. Schar
E. Krafth
T. Livramento
A. Webster
MidfielderD. Gomez
ForwardS. Tzimas
Newcastle & Brighton Squad Analysis
Newcastle United have not had a great deal of good news in recent weeks. They have slipped down the Premier League table after a series of losses and may not qualify for European football.
Important returns for United.
One piece of promising news came last week when influential midfielder Bruno Guimaraes made his return from injury and played 75 minutes at the Emirates. The Magpies also have Joelinton available again after he ended his suspension.
Anthony Gordon has been so important for them this season. He could make a return from injury this weekend. Who wiil be in goal for them this weekend? Aaron Ramsdale was replaced by Nick Pope at Arsenal but he didn't put in a great display so might lose his place this weekend.
Brighton and Hove Albion have been impressive on the road recently and will want to continue that against Newcastle. The Seagulls are expected to be without James Milner for this match so he won't be playing against his former club.
Mats Wieffer came off at half-time against Chelsea but he is likely to start this game. Brighton will look for more goals from Danny Welbeck who has scored three goals in his last four matches including one in the recent 3-0 win over Chelsea.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brighton
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
Newcastle - Brighton Key Points
- Newcastle have lost their last five league and cup games.
- Brighton have won four and drawn one of their last five matches.
- Newcastle have lost their last two home league fixtures.
- Brighton won the reverse fixture 2-1 and won twice here last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
It's beginning to look bleak for Newcastle United in terms of European qualification. They are on a losing run at present and lost seven home league games this season. A side bet on both teams scoring is an idea, that's happened in 17 of Newcastle's last 19 matches.
Brighton and Hove Albion are dreaming of another season in European competition. They have a good run-in and have improved their away performances in recent weeks. Our main Newcastle v Brighton prediction is Brighton wins or draws.
Newcastle vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Brighton wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Brighton
| Newcastle vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2.18 | 2.75 | +26.1% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.8 | +4.1% |
| Brighton wins | 2.95 | 2.69 | -8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.9% and is now 37.2% (3.3%)
Newcastle vs Brighton - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
