New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

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New Orleans Pelicans
16/03/2026 20:00
Dallas Mavericks

Prediction :

 

New Orleans Pelicans –5.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in NBA Predictions

This neck-and-neck clash in the NBA Western Conference sees the New Orleans Pelicans host the resurgent Dallas Mavericks at the Smoothie King Center tonight. The Pelicans sit 13th in the standings at 22–46 on the season, while the Mavericks are 12th at 23–45. Who is likely to come out on top? Check out our prediction below.

The New Orleans Pelicans failed to sustain their winning momentum on Friday night against the Houston Rockets. They suffered a narrow 107–105 defeat to the Rockets after back-to-back wins. 

Despite that setback, James Borrego's side enter this clash as the favorites, having won seven of their last 11 games, including their last four at home. Moreover, they hold a strong 9–2 record against the spread in their last 11 games.

No one expected the Dallas Mavericks' stunning performance at Rocket Arena against the Cleveland Cavaliers last night! They pulled off a shock 130–120 away win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, silencing the Cleveland crowd after losing by 33 points in the first fixture of the home-and-home series.

The Mavericks are unlikely to deliver a similarly strong performance against the Pelicans tonight. They are playing on a no-rest schedule and have lost nine of their last 11 games overall.

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New Orleans Pelicans v Dallas Mavericks Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.29 3.7
Roobet
1.28 3.7
BC Game
1.28 3.7
Betway
1.3 3.75
Tonybet
1.29 3.75
Check all New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks odds

Who will win the New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Basketball game?

Our prediction for the New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks match is: New Orleans Pelicans –5.5 handicap.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks game on 16/03/2026 of the current NBA season:

  • New Orleans Pelicans has a 65.02% chance to pick up the win against Dallas Mavericks according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
  • There is a probability of 34.98% ⭐ for Dallas Mavericks to win vs New Orleans Pelicans with odds of 3.75 at Betway.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Form

New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
23 Dallas Mavericks
0.317 82 26 56 1
23 New Orleans Pelicans
0.317 82 26 56

New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

13 Mar 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
107 :  105
New Orleans Pelicans

11 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
122 :  111
Toronto Raptors

8 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
138 :  118
Washington Wizards

6 Mar 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
118 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans

5 Mar 2026 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
123 :  133
New Orleans Pelicans
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

16 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

11 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
122 :  111
Toronto Raptors

8 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
138 :  118
Washington Wizards

24 Feb 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
113 :  109
Golden State Warriors

21 Feb 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
126 :  111
Philadelphia 76ers

20 Feb 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
118 :  139
Milwaukee Bucks
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

13 Mar 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
107 :  105
New Orleans Pelicans

6 Mar 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
118 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans

5 Mar 2026 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
123 :  133
New Orleans Pelicans

3 Mar 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  101
New Orleans Pelicans

1 Mar 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
137 :  117
New Orleans Pelicans

28 Feb 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
105 :  115
New Orleans Pelicans
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

16 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

15 Mar 2026 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
120 :  130
Dallas Mavericks

13 Mar 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
105 :  138
Cleveland Cavaliers

12 Mar 2026 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
112 :  120
Dallas Mavericks

10 Mar 2026 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
124 :  112
Dallas Mavericks

8 Mar 2026 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
122 :  92
Dallas Mavericks
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

13 Mar 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
105 :  138
Cleveland Cavaliers

1 Mar 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
87 :  100
Oklahoma City Thunder

27 Feb 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
105 :  124
Memphis Grizzlies

26 Feb 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
121 :  130
Sacramento Kings

5 Feb 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
123 :  135
San Antonio Spurs

3 Feb 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
100 :  110
Boston Celtics
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

16 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

15 Mar 2026 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
120 :  130
Dallas Mavericks

12 Mar 2026 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
112 :  120
Dallas Mavericks

10 Mar 2026 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
124 :  112
Dallas Mavericks

8 Mar 2026 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
122 :  92
Dallas Mavericks

6 Mar 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
120 :  100
Dallas Mavericks

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Pelicans

50 %

Dallas Mavericks

50 %

16 Mar 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  113
Dallas Mavericks

21 Nov 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
118 :  115
New Orleans Pelicans

5 Nov 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
99 :  101
New Orleans Pelicans

21 Feb 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
111 :  103
New Orleans Pelicans

29 Jan 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
136 :  137
Dallas Mavericks

Players list

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
Y. Missi

T. Murphy III

H. Jones

S. Bey

Z. Williamson

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
C. Flagg

M. Christie

R. Nembhard

N. Marshall

P. Washington Jr.

Substitutes

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
D. Queen D. Jordan K. Matkovic

J. Hawkins

M. Peavy

D. Murray

J. Poole

J. Fears

K. Looney

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
D. Powell

J. Poulakidas

B. Williams

A. Johnson

K. Middleton

T. Smith

M. Bagley III

New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks Key Points

  1. The New Orleans Pelicans have won their last four home games.
  2. The Pelicans are 9–2 ATS in their last 11 games.
  3. The Dallas Mavericks have lost nine of their last 11 games.
  4. The Mavericks are 2–5 in their last seven away games.
  5. The Mavericks are playing on a no-rest schedule.
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Our New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

We are backing the New Orleans Pelicans to win this tie and cover the spread. They boast a perfect record in their last four home games and hold a reliable 9–2 record against the spread in their last 11 games. 

The Dallas Mavericks come into this fixture as the underdogs despite their recent resurgence. They play on a no-rest schedule as opposed to the Pelicans and are 2–9 in their last 11 games overall. Our New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks prediction is New Orleans Pelicans –5.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

New Orleans Pelicans –5.5 handicap

 
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New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction