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Serie A • Day 31
04/18/21 02:45 PM
Napoli
Napoli
1 - 1
Finished
45' : 1 - 0
Inter Milano
Inter Milano

Tip Napoli - Inter Milano

Inter Milan are on course to winning their first Serie A title since 2010 but on their way is a tough trip to Naples, where they’ll face top four contenders Napoli. Hosts Napoli have 59 points in fifth place, while Inter have 74 points at the top of the league table. Napoli returned to winning ways, with a 2-0 win over Sampdoria, after the loss to Juventus. That was their third clean sheet in five matches and they’ve scored in all of the five matches. Napoli are two points below the top four and will hope this is the week they get to go past Atalanta, who have a tough game against Juventus. Defensively, they’ve been a bit shaky lately, conceding five goals in the last three matches but they’ve managed to score two or more goals in three of their last four. In the last 10 matches at home, across all competitions, Napoli are unbeaten, with nine wins and a draw heading to this one. They have six straight wins in league matches at home and scored two or more goals in five of them, with four clean sheets in the six, though none has come in the last two matches. Napoli will hope for a break, having lost each of their last three Serie A matches against Inter. Hirving Lozano is suspended for this game but Lorenzo Insigne should be able to hold the attack, and Napoli will also have to do without first choice keeper David Ospina who is injured, leaving the slot open for Alex Meret.

Inter are 11 points ahead of second placed AC Milan as they go to this game and they know three points will be very crucial here, but they’re also aware they are facing a side in desperate need of points. The visitors haven’t been scoring a lot of goals lately. As they canter towards the title, they’ve won their last six league matches by one-goal margins. They needed a late Matteo Darmian goal in the last game to secure a 1-0 win over a stubborn Cagliari and the celebrations afterwards said all about how important each win now is. Antonio Conte’s side is currently on a 14-match unbeaten run in the league, and they’ve won each of the last 11. Winning by slim margins needs great defending and Inter have perfected that; they have nine clean sheets in the last 14 league games. In the last five away matches, they have straight wins and three clean sheets, and they have four wins in the last five meetings with Napoli.

Key points Napoli - Inter Milano

  • Inter have 11 straight wins in Serie A matches.

  • Napoli are unbeaten at home in the last 10 matches.

  • Inter have nine clean sheets in their last 14 Serie A matches.

  • Inter have won by one-goal margins in their last six Serie A matches.

  • Napoli have three straight losses in matches against Inter.

Conclusion Napoli - Inter Milano

Napoli have lost once in their last five matches and meet an Inter side with 11 straight league wins. With the two sides’ targets for the season, we don’t expect a very open game and their winning margins have also not been so big. Inter have won by the difference of a goal in the last six games, and they have been dominant in matches against Napoli too. We expect the visitors to keep up their fine run here but with a slim margin.

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Napoli Inter Milano Prediction published on April 16, 2021

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