Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
14th seed Naomi Osaka will have nothing but revenge on her mind when she takes on 10th seed Karolina Muchova in the Wimbledon quarter-finals. They are meeting just two weeks after their championship duel in Bad Homburg. Recent form and events from their last meeting have our prediction backing Osaka.
Osaka had to pull out of the most recent duel with Muchova due to injury. She has since recovered from that foot injury and will be keen for a response against Muchova.
'The former world number one, who is having her best-ever performance at Wimbledon, is coming off a morale-boosting victory. Competing in the second week at SW19 for the first time, Osaka outmuscled top seed Aryna Sabalenka.
After earning her first win over a world number one, Osaka has jumped up to 13th in the live ranking.
Karolina Muchova is in red-hot form and having defeated Osaka during her current winning run, she will be confident of another win.
The Czech star hasn’t lost in eight matches and has only fallen once in 10 outings on grass. Muchova dropped her first set since the Bad Homburg quarter-finals in her fourth-round battle with Barbora Krejcikova.
Facing off with a former Wimbledon champion, Muchova won in three sets after losing the second. A winner of 33 matches so far this season, Muchova, the world number nine, is looking to win a last-eight tie at Wimbledon for the first time.
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Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.77 | 2.02 |
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1.82 | 2.13 |
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1.76 | 2.06 |
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1.76 | 2.06 |
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1.78 | 2.04 |
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Who will win the Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova match is: Naomi Osaka wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova game on 07/07/2026 of the current WTA Wimbledon Championships season:
- Naomi Osaka has a 56.44% chance to win against Karolina Muchova according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.82.
- Karolina Muchova has a 43.56% probability of winning facing Naomi Osaka ⭐ with odds of 2.13 at 1xbet.
Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Naomi Osaka has a 56.44 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 56.44 % |
| Karolina Muchova | 43.56 % |
Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Form
Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
26 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
25 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
26 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
25 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
3 Sept 2025 - WTA US Open
14 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
29 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova Key Points
- Osaka is a four-time Grand Slam champion.
- Osaka has beaten Muchova three times previously.
- Through nine outings on grass this season, Osaka has won eight times.
- Over the last year, Muchova lost nine of 19 duels against top-20 opponents.
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Our Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction
Our prediction for Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova is that Naomi Osaka wins. Both Muchova and Osaka have won three times in this fixture, and it is the former who won the most recent battle. Muchova defeated Osaka just two weeks ago in a championship match on grass.
Osaka was impeded by injury in that fixture, and wasn’t herself as she eventually retired during the second set. Having fully recovered, we expect her to come out guns blazing. Osaka showed that she is in top form after eliminating world number one Aryna Sabalenka. The Japanese star also has experience in competing in the latter stages of slam events as she has won multiple slam titles.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.