Motherwell vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Conference League Predictions
Motherwell play host to Freiburg at Fir Park in the first leg of the Europa Conference League play-offs. Defensive issues have plagued the visitors in Europe, with no clean sheet in their last four games. Considering both sides scored in three of those encounters, our prediction backs BTTS.
Motherwell have been the team to beat this season as they've yet to suffer defeat in their last seven games across all competitions since the start of the 2026-27 campaign.
Of the four Europa Conference League qualifying games, the Steelmen secured three wins, with a 1-1 draw against HJK Helsinki in the first leg of the third qualifying round being the only blemish.
However, Alfred Johansson's men secured a 2-0 home win in the return leg and won 3-1 on aggregate, progressing to the play-offs. Their most recent match outside of Europe came over the weekend when they lost 1-0 against Stenhousemuir in the second round of the Scottish League Cup.
The European door may not have opened as wide as Freiburg hoped this season, as they aim to make the most out of their Europa Conference League campaign.
It has been three months since Breisgau-Brasilianer's 3-0 defeat against Aston Villa in the Europa League final. They'll want to use that heartbreak as motivation in Europe's third-tier competition.
This is their first competitive match after navigating five preseason games (W4, L1).
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Motherwell v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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6.2 | 4.7 | 1.42 |
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6.78 | 4.77 | 1.46 |
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6.7 | 4.7 | 1.45 |
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6.7 | 4.7 | 1.45 |
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6.7 | 4.7 | 1.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Motherwell and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Motherwell vs Freiburg match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2026 between Motherwell and Freiburg in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.79% for a win of Motherwell against Freiburg with odds of 6.8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Motherwell vs Freiburg is 17.47% with odds of 4.8 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Motherwell with odds of 1.46 at 1xbet.
Motherwell vs Freiburg Form
Motherwell and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Scottish League Cup
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
2 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
23 Jul 2026 - Conference League
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Scottish League Cup
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
2 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Europa League
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Europa League
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
Motherwell - Freiburg Key Points
- Motherwell have scored in each of their last four Europa Conference League games.
- Freiburg have seen both teams score in three of their last four European games.
- Motherwell have scored in each of their last two European home games.
- Freiburg have seen both teams score in five of their last six matches across all competitions.
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Our Motherwell vs Freiburg Prediction
Motherwell are an inferior opponent in this fixture and that goes without doubt, as they face a more experienced side in European competitions. The Scottish club have never made it to a UEFA group/league phase and are hoping to do so this season.
Freiburg are well positioned to secure a first-leg advantage, but there's some concern with their defence, which could be breached. They've kept a clean sheet in just one of their last European games and are up against a side that has scored in each of their last four Europa Conference League qualifiers. Our Motherwell vs Freiburg prediction: BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
