Monza vs Avellino Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia

Italy - Coppa Italia

Monza
14/08/2026 14:45
Avellino

Prediction :

 

Monza wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Monza are back in Serie A, but before embarking on top-flight engagements, they have a Coppa Italia matchup against second-tier side Avellino. This will be in the first round of the cup competition. Monza lost once in 18 home matches, and our prediction here backs them to prevail.

This fixture has been won by the home side in the last three meetings, which gives Monza some edge, especially as they’ve won 13 times in their latest 18 competitive home matches.

The hosts are coming off a strong preseason run, where they only lost once in five outings, winning three times. In those five games, though, they conceded three goals three times and managed just one clean sheet.

Avellino had a good season in Serie B, their first after promotion from the third tier. Among their wins was a home victory against Monza. They hope to replicate that to avoid an early Coppa Italia exit for the second time in as many seasons.

The visitors will hope to tap into their manager Alessandro Nesta’s experience, with the former Italian international having recently coached Monza.

The Serie B side had preseason tests against top-flight sides Torino and Lazio to wrap up their friendly match schedules. Though they went winless in the two games, Avellino will hope the experience counts.

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Monza v Avellino Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.59 3.7 4.9
1xbet
1.63 3.78 5.1
Melbet
1.63 3.78 5.1
Betwinner
1.63 3.78 5.1
22bet
1.63 3.78 5.1
Check all Monza vs Avellino odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Monza and Avellino?

Our prediction for the Monza vs Avellino match is: Monza wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2026 between Monza and Avellino in Coppa Italia :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.92% for a win of Monza against Avellino with odds of 1.68 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monza vs Avellino is 18.2% with odds of 4 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Avellino vs Monza with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.

Monza vs Avellino Form

Monza and Avellino Last Matches

Monza
Monza Last matches
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
3 :  3
Calcio Padova

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
1 :  3
Aris Thessaloniki

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
0 :  2
Monza

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
4 :  3
Pro Vercelli 1892

29 May 2026 - Serie B

Monza
0 :  2
US Catanzaro

24 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
0 :  2
Monza
D W L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
3 :  3
Calcio Padova

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
1 :  3
Aris Thessaloniki

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
4 :  3
Pro Vercelli 1892

29 May 2026 - Serie B

Monza
0 :  2
US Catanzaro

19 May 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  1
Juve Stabia

8 May 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  2
Empoli
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
0 :  2
Monza

24 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
0 :  2
Monza

16 May 2026 - Serie B

Juve Stabia
2 :  2
Monza

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Mantova FC
3 :  2
Monza

17 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
0 :  3
Monza

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
1 :  1
Monza
Avellino
Avellino Last matches
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

7.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
5.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Avellino
1 :  1
Torino FC

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
6 :  3
Avellino

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

US Sambenedettese
0 :  5
Avellino

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Avellino
24 :  0
ASD Castel Di Sangro

12 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
3 :  0
Avellino

8 May 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
1 :  0
Modena
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

6 Total goals
50% BTTS
5.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Avellino
1 :  1
Torino FC

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Avellino
24 :  0
ASD Castel Di Sangro

8 May 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
1 :  0
Modena

24 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  0
Bari

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
1 :  1
US Catanzaro

18 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
3 :  2
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
6 :  3
Avellino

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

US Sambenedettese
0 :  5
Avellino

12 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
3 :  0
Avellino

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Empoli
1 :  0
Avellino

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Mantova FC
0 :  2
Avellino

5 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Palermo
2 :  0
Avellino

Monza vs Avellino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Monza

50 %

Draw

0 %

Avellino

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  1
Avellino

12 Sept 2025 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  1
Monza
Monza vs Avellino Prediction

Monza - Avellino Key Points

  1. In 18 home matches ahead of this, Monza posted 13 wins.
  2. Avellino’s last two away competitive matches ended in defeat.
  3. Monza won five and lost two of their latest 10 competitive matches.
  4. Monza are unbeaten at home in two home matches against Avellino.
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Our Monza vs Avellino Prediction

Monza have the upper hand here, as the host rarely loses in this fixture. This will be their third time hosting Avellino, and they will be gunning for an extension of their good run at home. Monza have posted 13 wins in their last 18 home games, and in the process they lost just once.

This run finds Avellino on an unconvincing away run, having lost the last two matches on the road. Our prediction for Monza v Avellino is that Monza wins.

Prediction :

 

Monza wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.