Monaco vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco will welcome fellow European hopefuls Lille this weekend in the French Ligue 1. With 32 games played, Monaco enter the weekend in sixth place in the standings and trail fourth-placed Lille by four points. In our prediction for this match, we are backing BTTS.
Monaco got back to winning ways last weekend to end a three-game run without a win. Sebastian Pocognoli’s men had drawn back to back matches in response to a shock 4-1 capitulation at Paris FC.
They improved on this last time out thanks to a 2-1 win at already relegated Metz. That win kept them in the European places and in with a chance at qualifying for the Champions League.
The Red and Whites have racked up 54 points and sit six points from a top three finish.
Lille are also looking to secure their place in next season’s Champions League. Bruno Genesio’s men are on 58 points, and if they remain fourth, they will qualify for the UCL preliminaries.
They, however, have a chance at qualifying for the competition proper as they sit just two points off the top three. Lille, who have won 17 games, the fourth most so far, head to the French Riviera having not lost in six games.
They have failed to win just twice in this spell, including last time out as they were held at home by Le Havre. Les Dogues haven't lost in three meetings with Monaco and won the last encounter 1-0 at home.
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Monaco v Lille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.72 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.72 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.7 | 2.64 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Lille?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Lille match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Monaco and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.39% for a win of Monaco against Lille with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Lille is 17.17% with odds of 3.86 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Monaco with odds of 2.76 at 888Starz.
Monaco - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 46.45% | 2.76 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.78 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 18.06% | 7 at LSbet |
Monaco vs Lille Form
Monaco and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
Monaco and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
Monaco vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
14 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Kohn
DefenderK. Diatta
W. Faes
E. Dier
MidfielderI. Toure
M. Coulibaly
P. Pogba
ForwardA. Fati
M. Biereth
A. Bodart
DefenderAlexsandro
C. Verdonk
C. Mbemba
MidfielderG. Perrin
O. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
N. Bentaleb
O. Giroud
Missing players
C. Henrique
M. Salisu
Vanderson
K. Ouattara
MidfielderT. Minamino
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
ForwardP. Brunner
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderM. Broholm
ForwardH. Igamane
N. Edjouma
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Lille
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(8 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(5 Assists)
Monaco - Lille Key Points
- Both teams have scored in Monaco’s last six matches.
- Monaco have found the net in 13 consecutive fixtures.
- Lille have scored in each of their last 11 league outings.
- Both Lille and Monaco have conceded at least 35 league goals.
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Our Monaco vs Lille Prediction
Our prediction for Monaco v Lille is BTTS. This match has a lot at stake as both teams are fighting to qualify for the Champions League. A win will be the ideal result for either side, and as a result, we expect an entertaining battle.
Monaco have slowed down a bit in recent outings, but their scoring form hasn't. They are one of the best scoring sides in Ligue 1 and have been averaging almost two goals a game. This is likewise with their visitors who have also scored over 50 league goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Lille
| Monaco vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 2.22 | 2.55 | +14.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.86 | +2.9% |
| Lille wins | 2.85 | 2.76 | -3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 36.2% (1.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
