Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
Two players who were outside the top 100 in the last ranking list are contesting this Roland Garros quarter-final. Matteo Berrettini takes on fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi for a place in the last four. Between them they have played 14 tie-breaks in this tournament and our prediction is more than 0.5 in this match.
The winner will be up against either fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime or tenth-seeded Flavio Cobolli in the semi-finals.
Matteo Berrettini is playing in his second French Open quarter-final. He has never gone further and this is his first time playing at Roland Garros since that sole quarter-final appearance in 2021. The 30-year-old former world number six was 105th in the last rankings, one place below Arnaldi.
The last 16 saw him end the run of Juan Manuel Cerundolo, winning in straight sets with two tie-breaks.
Five tie-breaks have been played by Berrettini in his last two matches and that is a statistic which has been matched by his opponent. Arnaldi needed three in his five-set win over Frances Tiafoe on Monday in a match that lasted over five hours.
The 25-year-old is playing in his first Grand Slam quarter-final and it has taken him over 17 hours to win his four matches.
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Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.51 | 2.56 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.49 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.63 |
|
|
1.48 | 2.46 |
|
|
1.48 | 2.5 |
|
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Who will win the Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 03/06/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Matteo Berrettini has a 51.08% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to 888Starz ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 48.92% probability of winning facing Matteo Berrettini ⭐ with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.
Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Berrettini has a 51.08 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | 51.08 % |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 48.92 % |
Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
30 May 2026 - ATP French Open
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
7 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
30 May 2026 - ATP French Open
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
26 May 2026 - ATP French Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Arnaldi played three tie-breaks in his fourth round win over Tiafoe.
- Eight tie-breaks have been played by Arnaldi in this tournament.
- Berrettini has played six tie-breaks so far, including three in his third round win over Comesana.
- Seven of Arnaldi's last 11 matches on the ATP Tour have included at least one tie-break.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
A short match is not being expected as these two unseeded Italians face each other in Paris. Between them they have already played for over 30 hours in this outdoor clay court tournament. Tie-breaks aplenty have been played by the duo.
More of the same can be fully expected in this quarter-final match at Roland Garros. Matteo Berrettini is the more experienced of the two players and may well win this match. Our main Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
