Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
An Italian will be in the Roland Garros final but it won't be Jannik Sinner. Tenth seed Flavio Cobolli plays unseeded Matteo Arnaldi for a place in the final of this outdoor clay court Grand Slam. Cobolli has been having an excellent season on this surface and our prediction is he wins set one and the match.
The winner will be up against either second seed Alexander Zverev or 26th seed Jakub Mensik in Sunday's final.
Both of these players are in a Grand Slam semi-final for the first time. Flavio Cobolli has reached one ATP Tour clay court final this year and is up to a career-high tenth in the live rankings. 14 of his 19 matches on this surface in 2026 have been won.
Only two sets have been dropped by the 24-year-old on his way to this semi-final.
Matteo Arnaldi was only 104th in the last ranking list. This run to the last four has taken him up to 34th. He has had to play for nearly 20 hours to get to this stage. That's despite the fact his quarter-final against Matteo Berrettini ended in set two due to retirement. Two five-setters have been played.
Before Roland Garros, his best run on clay on the ATP Tour had been a third round in Rome.
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Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.94 | 1.4 |
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2.94 | 1.4 |
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3 | 1.4 |
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2.8 | 1.38 |
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2.8 | 1.39 |
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli match is: Flavio Cobolli wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli game on 05/06/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 47.17% chance to win against Flavio Cobolli according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.05.
- Flavio Cobolli has a 52.83% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.4 at Melbet.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 47.17 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 47.17 % |
| Flavio Cobolli | 52.83 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
30 May 2026 - ATP French Open
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
26 May 2026 - ATP French Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
1 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
30 May 2026 - ATP French Open
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
29 May 2025 - ATP French Open
26 Jul 2023 - ATP Umag Open
Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli Key Points
- Cobolli beat Arnaldi in last year's French Open.
- Cobolli was 90 places above Arnaldi in the last ranking list.
- Cobolli has reached one ATP Tour clay court final this year.
- Cobolli has won the first set in six of his last seven victories.
- Arnaldi's success this year before Roland Garros came when winning Cagliari's Challenger Tour tournament.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction
Flavio Cobolli trails Matteo Arnaldi 3-2 in previous meetings. All were played on clay but just one in the last three years. The most recent meeting saw Cobolli beat Arnaldi in last year's French Open. He has been climbing the world rankings and is now up to tenth in the live list.
Arnaldi had failed to get past round three in an ATP Tour clay court tournament this year. He's played eight tie-breaks so far and a side bet on one here is advisable. Our Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli prediction is Flavio Cobolli wins set one and match.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Matteo Arnaldi or Flavio Cobolli, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
