Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The 2026/27 French Ligue 1 season kicks off in Southern France as Marseille hosts Strasbourg this Friday. Marseille will this season seek to better their fifth-place finish, as Strasbourg wound up eighth. Marseille haven’t lost to Strasbourg in recent meetings, a trend our prediction backs to continue here.
Marseille are opening a fresh chapter after last season’s turmoil that also saw them miss a Champions League slot. There is a new man in charge, Bruno Genesio, and he will hope to lead Les Phocéens to a first league title since 2009/10.
A solid preseason run, a good record on matchday one, and head-to-head advantage over Strasbourg are enough to build their confidence. Marseille have won six of their last seven matchday one fixtures.
Strasbourg have only beaten Marseille once in the last 23 meetings. They will be keen on bettering that run here, but coming from a tough run in preseason that might be a target too high.
Le Racing failed to win any of their seven build-up matches, and one of the six defeats was a 7-0 outcome against Sporting. They wrapped it up with a draw against Newcastle United and will be keen on a better start to the season.
Strasbourg should be able to focus better this season, as they aren’t in any European competition.
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Marseille v Strasbourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.19 | 4.29 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.1 | 4.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Strasbourg?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Strasbourg match is: BTTS & Marseille win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2026 between Marseille and Strasbourg in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.58% for a win of Marseille against Strasbourg with odds of 1.79 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Strasbourg is 25.5% with odds of 4.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Strasbourg vs Marseille with odds of 4.75 at LSbet.
Marseille - Strasbourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Strasbourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 51.58% | 1.79 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.8% | 1.6 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 70.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 22.76% | 2.85 at Betsson |
Marseille vs Strasbourg Form
Marseille and Strasbourg's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
|
17
|
3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
Marseille and Strasbourg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Strasbourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Strasbourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Vermot
DefenderN. Aguerd
K. Bezahaf
U. Garcia
D. Cornelius
MidfielderT. Mmadi
N. Tocukvu
ForwardK. Abdallah
N. Maupay
M. Piekutowski
DefenderJ. Mitchell
M. Del Blanco
MidfielderM. Amougou
G. Reyna
P. Diop
G. Kodia
ForwardF. Balde
J. Ortega
Missing players
I. Doukoure
MidfielderM. Godo
ForwardJ. Panichelli
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Strasbourg
A. Gouiri
(4 Goals)
G. Yassine
(2 Goals)
, 
S. Amo-Ameyaw
(2 Goals)
A. Gomes
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gouiri
(1 Assists)
,
A. Harit
(1 Assists)
S. Nanasi
(2 Assists)
Marseille - Strasbourg Key Points
- Marseille conceded once in each of their last four league opening matches.
- Marseille won six of their last seven matchday one encounters.
- Marseille lost once in the last 23 meetings with Strasbourg.
- Both teams scored in four of these sides’ last five meetings.
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Our Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction
Strasbourg are winless in six of their last 10 away matches in competitive action. This will not be the ideal form to carry away to Marseille, where they haven’t won in their last 21 visits. The away side also had a very shaky preseason, losing six times and drawing one of their seven matches.
It may be unrelated but their start to the season could follow that trend. Meanwhile, Marseille have a great record on opening days and could just edge this. Our prediction for Marseille v Strasbourg is BTTS & Marseille win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Strasbourg
| Marseille vs Strasbourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.79 | 1.79 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.5 | +2.3% |
| Strasbourg wins | 4.25 | 4.75 | +11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.9% and is now 55.9% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
