Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
To reach round two of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters, Marcos Giron must record a first win over Sebastian Baez. He has lost all three of their previous matches (two on this surface) but there have been some long matches and our prediction for this match is more than 20.5 games.
Whoever wins will be up against the defending champion 17th seed Valentin Vacherot in round two.
Marcos Giron is 88th in the world, 35 places below Baez.
He has a 15-13 record on this surface, but has lost his last five matches.
Of those matches, four were over the best-of-three sets and all had more than 20.5 games played.
Giron has reached two ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-finals this year.
These two players last met earlier this year with Baez winning the Auckland semi-final. Two of their three matches have had at least 21 games played in them.
Sebastian Baez is also struggling at present with five of his last six matches ending in defeat. He'll be aiming to avoid a fourth straight round one loss.
This year has seen Baez make it to the Auckland final but he's only twice reached round three on this surface twice since January.
Each of his last four completed best-of-three-sets matches have seen more than 20.5 games played.
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Marcos Giron v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 1.74 |
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2.11 | 1.76 |
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2.09 | 1.74 |
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2.09 | 1.74 |
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2.09 | 1.74 |
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Who will win the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez game on 08/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Marcos Giron has a 35.56% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.11.
- Sebastian Baez has a 64.44% probability of winning facing Marcos Giron ⭐ with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marcos Giron has a 35.56 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | 35.56 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 64.44 % |
Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Form
Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
12 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
1 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
22 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Two of the three previous meetings between these players saw more than 20.5 games played.
- Baez has played more than 20.5 games in each of his last four completed matches played over the best-of-three-sets.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Baez has played one in three of his last four completed matches.
- More than 20.5 games have been played in each of Giron's last four best-of-three sets matches.
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Our Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Neither of these players are in good form at present. They are both struggling to get wins, but not suffering heavy losses. Sebastian Baez made a great start to the new year with some improved results on this surface. Recent months have seen him fail to build on that form.
It's been a poor few weeks for Marcos Giron too, but like Baez his defeats have seen plenty of games played in them. Two of their three previous matches have seen at least 21 games played. Our Marcos Giron v Sebastian Baez prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
