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Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
25/10/2025 12:30
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Draw or Brighton

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester United will be on the chase for a third straight win in the Premier League when they host Brighton. Going into this match, at Old Trafford, United will also be looking to stop an opponent that has been a serious thorn in their flesh. That target will not be an easy one to reach, as the visitors are also on a high, coming off a key win and seeking back-to-back victories. After our preview below, we have two predictions for the match.

Manchester United, who previously faced a lot of backlash for a lack of successive wins, are now targeting a third win on the bounce. It is hard to imagine United will not be seeking revenge in this game.

In their last five meetings between these two sides, Brighton lost once and won four. Going into this match, Manchester United have risen to ninth, and Brighton are just below the Red Devils.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.95 3.8 3.5
Betfred
2 3.75 3.5
William Hill
2 3.7 3.4
Betway
2 3.75 3.4
Unibet
1.98 3.85 3.45
Check all Manchester United vs Brighton odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Brighton match is: Brighton to win or draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Manchester United and Brighton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.15% for a win of Manchester United against Brighton with odds of 2.03 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Brighton is 21.65% with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Manchester United with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.

Manchester United vs Brighton Form

Manchester United and Brighton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Manchester United
Manchester United
13 8 4 1 3 -1
10
Brighton
Brighton
12 8 3 3 2 1

Manchester United and Brighton Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

14 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley
D D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

17 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  2
Everton
W D D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United

14 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
2 :  2
Manchester United

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  1
Manchester United

30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hong Kong
1 :  3
Manchester United
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
L D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton
W W D W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton

Manchester United vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

17 %

Draw

17 %

Brighton

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester United

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  2
Manchester United

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

4 May 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Manchester United

23 Apr 2023 - FA Cup

Brighton
0 :  0
Manchester United
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Manchester United - Brighton: Form Analysis

Manchester United’s last home match ended in a 2-0 victory against Sunderland. They then proceeded to record a 2-1 win against Liverpool at Anfield. Beating Liverpool was particularly eye-catching, as it threw the league title race wide open.

The win also lifted United to the top half of the league. The Red Devils have for the past two seasons been struggling and will want to make the most of their current form.

At Anfield, it took a late Harry Maguire header to seal the win. The hosts have three wins in the last four matches, and it is even better at home. They have won all home league games since losing 1-0 to Arsenal in their season opener.

Manchester United managed back-to-back wins for the first time under Amorim.

Brighton will be here to crush United’s confidence and send them back to the drawing board. This is a match the Seagulls consider manageable, having beaten United in each of the last three visits to Old Trafford.

In terms of recent form, the visitors are coming from a 2-1 win over Newcastle United. That was their fifth straight unbeaten outing across all competitions, and they have three wins in that run.

Away from home it has been a mixed bag, but they come here without a loss in the last three.

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Manchester United vs Brighton last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

31
S. Lammens
4
M. De Ligt
5
H. Maguire
23
L. Shaw
16
A. Diallo
18
Casemiro
8
B. Fernandes
2
D. Dalot
19
B. Mbeumo
10
M. Cunha
7
M. Mount
18
D. Welbeck
25
D. Gomez
10
G. Rutter
11
Y. Minteh
26
Y. Ayari
17
C. Baleba
24
F. Kadioglu
6
J. Van Hecke
5
L. Dunk
27
M. Wieffer
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

J. Veltman

Midfielder

J. Hinshelwood

S. March

K. Mitoma

B. Gruda

D. Gomez

Manchester United & Brighton Squad Analysis

Bryan Mbeumo is establishing himself as a top player at Manchester United. He was on target against Liverpool for his second league goal of the season. 

The Cameroonian has also provided an assist, but it is his personal record against Bright that stands out. Mbeumo has three goals and as many assists against the Seagulls.

For a player who has this season attempted 20 shots and has an xG of 2.33, Mbeumo will be a man to watch here.

Manchester United could miss the services of Casemiro for this match.

While Mbeumo has been a pain to Brighton, Danny Welbeck has been one to United, his former employers. The former England international has four goal contributions in four matches against United over the last five seasons.

He will be gunning for another such impact here with three of his G/A coming at Old Trafford. In eight matches this season, Welbeck has scored four times and has an xG of 3.03.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay D. Gomez (5 Goals)
Best assists
Ivory Coast A. Diallo (1 Assists)
Portugal B. Fernandes (1 Assists)
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (1 Assists)
Denmark P. Dorgu (1 Assists)
England H. Maguire (1 Assists)
Portugal D. Dalot (1 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Rutter (2 Assists)
Gambia Y. Minteh (2 Assists)

Manchester United and Brighton Stats in Premier League

Manchester United
Manchester United
Brighton
Brighton
50%
Wins
38%
13%
Draw
38%
38%
Losses
25%
2.88
Total goals per match
2.88
1.38
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.38
63%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Under 2.5
38%
63%
BTTS
88%
13%
Clean Sheet
0%

Manchester United - Brighton Key Points

  1. Brighton won their last three matches at Old Trafford.
  2. In the last five meetings between these teams, Brighton won four.
  3. In five of their last nine matches, United failed to post a win.
  4. Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches.
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Our Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction

Brighton will easily qualify as Manchester United’s bogey team. The Seagulls have dominated recent matches against United and will be targeting the same. Ahead of this match, though, Manchester United are also ready, lifted by their recent back-to-back wins.

While United parade their two-match winning break, Brighton will be targeting a sixth undefeated outing. For the visitors it is not just that; they are pushing for a place in Europe, and this is the kind of match that gets such attention. Our prediction for Manchester United v Brighton is for Brighton to win or draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Brighton

 
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Manchester United vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.5

In our second prediction we will back both teams to score. Three of the last four meetings between these teams had goals on either end. Brighton haven't had a clean sheet in the last three matches as well, with both sides scoring. It has been a similar case in three of Manchester United’s matches too.

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Manchester United vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions

The Manchester United v Brighton match will be played on Saturday, 25th October.

The Manchester United v Brighton match will be staged at Old Trafford.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction

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