Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
With the international break now in the rearview mirror, FA Cup action bursts back into life with a blockbuster quarter-final battle between Manchester City and Liverpool at the Etihad this Saturday. The Citizens’ most recent FA Cup title came in 2022-23, while the Reds last won football’s oldest trophy in 2021-22. Check out our match prediction below!
After going trophyless in 2024-25, Pep Guardiola is aiming to get his side into the final four of the FA Cup for the eighth season in a row this weekend. The Sky Blues lost the last two finals to Man United and Crystal Palace, but they are on course for a domestic cup double this term, following their Carabao Cup triumph over the Gunners ahead of the March international break.
Arne Slot’s Premier League title defence is over, but his side can still salvage the season with a double of their own, as they are still standing in this competition as well as the Champions League. However, they have already faced City twice this term and lost both encounters, which sees them enter this match as the clear underdog. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Manchester City v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.74 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.16 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.18 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Liverpool match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Manchester City and Liverpool in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.41% for a win of Manchester City against Liverpool with odds of 1.78 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Liverpool is 16.03% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Manchester City with odds of 4.4 at 888Starz.
Manchester City - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 49.41% | 1.78 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.44% | 1.43 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 21.14% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Liverpool Form
Manchester City and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Manchester City kicked off their FA Cup campaign with a 10-1 drubbing of Exeter City before ousting Salford 2-0 at home and beating Newcastle United 3-1 away in the fifth round of the competition.
The Citizens’ last match saw them lift the EFL Cup against Arsenal a couple of weeks ago, but they’ve only won two of their last six matches in all competitions. During this period, they were eliminated from the UCL by Real Madrid (5-1 on aggregate).
However, Los Blancos are the only team to leave the Etihad with a victory since late November. Prior to the loss to Madrid last month, City were riding a 14-match unbeaten streak at home across all competitions (W11 D3).
Man City have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine home games in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Liverpool’s FA Cup campaign has included victories over Barnsley, Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers. They scored three or more goals in each of those wins.
However, the Reds have been well below their best of late with just two wins in their last six matches (D1 L3), though they did see off Galatasaray in that period to qualify for the UCL quarter-finals.
The visitors have lost three of their last four away games, with the only exception being their fifth-round victory over Wolves. They have also won only one of their last four visits to this venue (L3).
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Manchester City against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Donnarumma
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
N. Ake
MidfielderM. Kovacic
P. Foden
T. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
Savinho
O. Marmoush
F. Woodman
DefenderJ. Frimpong
A. Robertson
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
K. Morrison
T. Nyoni
F. Chiesa
C. Gakpo
R. Ngumoha
Missing players
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
Alisson
DefenderC. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardA. Isak
Manchester City & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Man City’s biggest injury concerns come at centre-back, where John Stones is now listed as a doubt after sustaining a calf injury while on international duty. Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol are also likely to be sidelined, meaning Nathan Ake and Abdukodir Khusanov will likely make up the central defensive pairing.
Nico O’Reilly was the Citizens’ hero at Wembley in the Carabao Cup final, scoring twice within five minutes, and he will almost certainly feature at left-back, with Matheus Nunez, who provided the assist for the second goal, completing the defensive quartet.
Rayan Cherki is expected to get the nod ahead of Phil Foden behind Erling Haaland in the attacking areas. Haaland scored in both Premier League wins over the Reds already this season.
Will Mohamed Salah mark his final visit to the Etihad as a Red with a goal?
The Egyptian King dropped a bombshell during the international break by confirming he will leave Anfield at the end of this season. He has been nursing an injury recently, but will be eager to add to his 21 goal contributions against the Citizens in this one.
Beyond Salah, Slot is facing a bit of an injury crisis, with Alisson, Federico Chiesa, Alexander Isak and Jeremie Frimpong all listed as major doubts. Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, Wataru Endo and Joe Gomez are ruled out entirely.
Owing to the shortage of right-back options, Dominik Szoboszlai might have to step back into defence as cover. Florian Wirtz had a hand in all four of Germany’s goals against Switzerland last week and could be one to watch for the visitors.
Manchester City - Liverpool Key Points
- Four of Man City’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Man City have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine home games in all competitions.
- Five of Liverpool’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away games in all competitions.
- Both teams scored in five of the last seven matches between these sides at this venue.
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Our Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction
Manchester City will enter this match feeling a lot better about themselves, having secured their first piece of silverware by beating EPL favourites Arsenal to the Carabao Cup title ahead of the international break.
However, the Citizens are short-handed in central defence and were certainly not tested to the max by the Gunners that day. Liverpool, on the other hand, have not been great on the road of late and are also missing key players at the back. Given how both these sides enter this clash, we’re expecting goals at both ends. Our Manchester City vs Liverpool prediction is BTTS.
Manchester City vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Five of Man City’s last six home games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while three or more goals were scored in three of Liverpool’s last four away matches. Additionally, both games between these sides this season ended with three goals scored.
Manchester City wins
Manchester City have only lost one of their last 15 home games across all competitions, while Liverpool have lost three of their last four on the road. The Citizens have also beaten this opponent twice already this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Liverpool
| Manchester City vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.91 | 1.78 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.4 | +22.2% |
| Liverpool wins | 3.5 | 4.4 | +25.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 56.2% (3.8%)
Manchester City vs Liverpool - FAQs
The FA Cup quarter-final between Man City and Liverpool will take place on April 4 at 11:45 GMT.
The FA Cup quarter-final between Man City and Liverpool will be played at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The FA Cup quarter-final between Man City and Liverpool will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our FA Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
