Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Second-placed Manchester City are five points behind leaders Arsenal with this game in hand. They host Crystal Palace on Wednesday evening and dare not drop any points. The Citizens are strong at home and our match prediction is a City win with them leading at half and full time.
City know that if Arsenal win their final two league games, then the Gunners will be crowned champions. All City can do is aim to win their final three league fixtures and eliminate the gap of -2 that exists in the goal difference between the top two. The recent draw at Everton has cost City dearly but failure to beat Palace on Wednesday would be an absolute disaster for Pep Guardiola's team. A 14th home league win of the season has to happen.
There's only really one game that Crystal Palace cares about at present. The Eagles have qualified for the Conference League final and that looks to be their best chance of securing European football next season. They have a key role to play in who wins this season's Premier League. City will want to beat them here but then dream of Palace taking points off Arsenal when they play them in their final league game of the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Manchester City v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 7.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.95 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.2 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.6 | 8.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Crystal Palace match is: Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/05/2026 between Manchester City and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.41% for a win of Manchester City against Crystal Palace with odds of 1.33 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Crystal Palace is 15.91% with odds of 7.5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Manchester City with odds of 12 at LSbet.
Manchester City - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 58.41% | 1.33 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89.16% | |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 25.41% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Form
Manchester City and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Manchester City and Crystal Palace Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
4 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Conference League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 May 2025 - FA Cup
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Manchester City boosted their Premier League title chances with a 3-0 win over Brentford on Saturday. That good work was negated though when Arsenal scored a late winner at West Ham a day later to restore their five-point lead at the top of the table.
City are so strong at the Etihad.
City have gone eight games without a defeat. They have scored at least twice in all but one of their last nine matches. Each of their last four home games has been won and 11 goals scored in those victories. They have won 13 home league games this season, losing just once.
The Blues won the reverse fixture against Crystal Palace 3-0. They have only lost one of their last nine games against the Eagles. That was an important loss though as it was in last season's FA Cup final.
Crystal Palace have another final on their minds at present, the Conference League final. They are only 14th in the Premier League and 30 points behind their opponents. The weekend saw them held to a 2-2 home draw by Everton. Only two points have been earned from their last four league fixtures.
Palace have won seven away league games this season but been beaten eight times. Three of their last four away league matches have ended in defeat. Six goals have been conceded in the last two.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Manchester City against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderJ. Stones
R. Dias
N. Ake
T. Reijnders
R. Cherki
M. Kovacic
J. Doku
E. Haaland
W. Benitez
DefenderN. Clyne
C. Riad
MidfielderA. Wharton
J. Devenny
D. Kamada
I. Sarr
J. Strand Larsen
R. Cardines
Missing players
Rodri
B. Sosa
MidfielderC. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
Manchester City & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
This is such an important game for Manchester City as they try to win the Premier League. They are five points behind Arsenal and have a slighlly inferior goal difference with just three games to play. A wide-margin win is what they will be looking for on Wednesday evening.
That's what City managed to do at the weekend and they will fancy their chances of repeating that against Palace. Abdukodir Khusanov is a doubt for this game and City will be wary of conceding goals as was the case at Everton last week.
Haaland and Doku are in great form.
At least Erling Haaland is back in form with goals in four of his last five matches. He loves playing against Palace with eight goals in five Premier League games against the Eagles. Jeremy Doku is also a regular scorer for City at present and both are good bets to score against Palace.
Crystal Palace are safe from relegation but are not looking like qualifying for Europe via their league position. Winning the Conference League is their main aim now. They will continue to be without Eddie Nketiah and Borna Sosa but Evann Guessand may be back for this trip to the Etihad.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
Manchester City - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Manchester City have have won 13 home league games this season with just one loss.
- Nine of City's 13 home league wins saw them ahead at both half and full time.
- Crystal Palace have lost three of their last four league fixtures.
- Manchester City won the reverse fixture 3-0.
- Crystal Palace have only won one of their last nine games against Manchester City.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Manchester City have to win this game and also need to close the goal difference gap that exists between them and Arsenal. The Citizens are in good form, especially at home and two of their final three league fixtures are at the Etihad.
Crystal Palace are in the bottom half of the Premier League and struggling on the road. The Conference League final is what matters to them at present and their Premier League form is not impressive at all. Our main Manchester City v Crystal Palace prediction is Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City.
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Crystal Palace
| Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.28 | 1.33 | +3.9% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 7.5 | +33.9% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 8.8 | 12 | +36.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 75.2% (-2.9%)
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
