Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Premier League powerhouse Manchester City will battle Bundesliga behemoth Borussia Dortmund in a blockbuster Champions League bout under the beaming Etihad floodlights in midweek. The Citizens and Die Schwarzgelben are locked on seven points apiece and are in seventh and sixth place, respectively, in the League Phase standings. Check out our match prediction below!
Manchester City have reached the knockout stage of this competition in each of the last 12 seasons and are on course to extend that record this term, now unbeaten after three games. The Sky Blues have never lost a home game in the UCL to this opponent (W2 D1) and have won their last 11 in a row against German opposition.
However, BVB have fared well against English clubs in recent times, winning three of their last four such matches. They are also the second-highest goal scorers in this competition to date, with 12 goals after three matches. Two titans, one grand stage - let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2025 between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.14% for a win of Manchester City against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 1.37 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund is 17.31% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Manchester City with odds of 8.5 at Betfred.
Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 53.14% | 1.37 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.39% | 1.46 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 21.7% | 4.5 at Unibet |
Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
14
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2022 - Champions League
14 Sept 2022 - Champions League
14 Apr 2021 - Champions League
6 Apr 2021 - Champions League
20 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup
Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Manchester City are gunning for a third victory in the Champions League this week after unexpectedly dropping points against Monaco in their second match of the competition on October 1.
The Citizens saw off the surging Bournemouth 3-1 in the Premier League here at the weekend, and have now won five of their last six matches, with the exception being a 1-0 loss away to Aston Villa.
Since losing their first home match of the season to Spurs, City have rattled off five wins on the bounce across all competitions at the Etihad and scored two or more goals in each of those victories.
Man City are unbeaten in their last 22 UCL group-stage home games (W19 D3)!
Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund were held to a draw by Juventus in their first match in this competition but won their next two, with the most recent being a 4-2 victory over Copenhagen last month.
BVB notched up a 1-0 victory over Augsburg at the weekend and are now on a four-match win streak. The only defeat they have suffered this term was to Bayern Munich just after the October international break.
Dortmund have scored four goals in each UCL match this season - the first time they have ever done so in three consecutive European games - and have only lost one of their 10 in this competition (W6 D3).
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Manchester City against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Kovacic
J. Duranville
Manchester City & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Erling Haaland will face his former employers this week, and he has been in stunning form this season, now on 13 goals in 10 league games and four in this competition. He also netted the winner the last time he faced this opponent at this venue.
This week, Bernardo Silva is set to become the fourth Portuguese player to make 100 UCL appearances after CR7, Pepe and Luis Figo. However, he is one booking away from a yellow-card suspension.
Rodri shook off a knock to feature against the Cherries at the weekend and will operate in the pivot, while Mateo Kovacic is the only confirmed absentee for the home side in this match.
Haaland has scored 37 goals in 33 Champions League group-stage matches!
Indeed, it is going to take a massive defensive effort for Nico Kovac’s side to keep the Norwegian at bay, but they are expected to have both Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Sule back in the squad.
Jobe Bellingham picked up a couple of assists against Copenhagen on Matchday 3, which could see him brought back into the starting 11, possibly in place of former Brighton man Pascal Gross.
Serhou Guirassy scored the winner at the weekend and will lead the line for the visitors. Yan Couto and Ramy Bensebaini are expected to miss this trip to Manchester due to injury.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
E. Haaland
(19 Goals)
T. Reijnders
(5 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(5 Assists)
Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in each of their last five home games.
- Manchester City failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches.
- Five of Borussia Dortmund’s last seven matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored four goals in each UCL game this season.
- Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Manchester City enter this fixture as the clear favourites and in good form, but this is by far their toughest test in this competition to date this season, and they will need to be at their best to maintain their unbeaten record.
Borussia Dortmund have been scoring for fun in Europe this term, but they are susceptible to conceding cheaply as well, as we saw when they shipped four away to Juventus during the opening week and two against Copenhagen last time out. Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is BTTS.
Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5
Manchester City’s last two games have ended with over 3.5 goals, and they have averaged three goals per 90 across their last five matches at home. Borussia Dortmund have scored four goals in each of their UCL matches this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Borussia Dortmund
| Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.4 | 1.36 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.5 | +10.0% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 73.5% (2.1%)
Win free tickets to Manchester City vs. Borussia Dortmund at Bet365!
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To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
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Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund will take place on November 5 at 20:00 BST.
The Champions League match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund will be played at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The Champions League match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
