Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing Prediction & Betting Tips - PBA - Commissioner Cup
Philippines - PBA - Commissioner Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in PBA - Commissioner Cup Predictions
Macau Black Bears take on Blackwater Bossing in a bottom-of-the-table clash in the 2025-26 PBA Commissioner's Cup on Tuesday. The Black Bears are bottom of the standings at 1–9 in the competition, while the Bossing are 12th at 2–7. Here is our prediction.
Macau Black Bears finally snapped their funk in the 2025-26 Commissioner's Cup with a 12-point victory over Titan Ultra Giant Risers. However, they were pegged back to default, losing 119–112 to TNT Tropang 5G on Friday.
Notably, Friday's defeat left their playoff hopes hanging in the balance, as they sit five places outside the top eight with three games left. Marcus Elliott's charges will look to reignite their slender hopes of a top-eight finish with a win on Tuesday.
Blackwater Bossing failed to build on their shock six-point victory over San Miguel Beermen as they fell 115–108 to Barangay Ginebra San Miguel last time out. Their defeat to the Gin Kings saw them slip further down the rankings to 12th, leaving their playoff hopes in serious doubt.
This will be their first meeting with the Macau Black Bears. They hold a clear advantage over the Black Bears, having fared relatively better than the PBA guests and boasting greater experience in the competition.
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Macau Black Bears v Blackwater Bossing Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
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1.32 | 3.05 |
|
|
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1.31 | 3 |
|
|
|
1.34 | 2.8 |
|
|
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1.57 | 2.16 |
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|
|
1.4 | 2.7 |
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Who will win the Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing match is: Blackwater Bossing +3.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing game on 28/04/2026 of the current PBA - Commissioner Cup season:
- Macau Black Bears has a 57.45% chance to pick up the win against Blackwater Bossing according to LSbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.57.
- There is a probability of 42.55% ⭐ for Blackwater Bossing to win vs Macau Black Bears with odds of 3.05 at Roobet.
Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing Form
Macau Black Bears and Blackwater Bossing's standings in the PBA - Commissioner Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.25 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
|
12
|
0.167 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
Macau Black Bears and Blackwater Bossing Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
21 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
10 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
10 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
8 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
6 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
20 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
7 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
31 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
28 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
22 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
17 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
8 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
31 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
8 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
22 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
13 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
13 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
22 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
17 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
31 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
18 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
19 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup
10 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears - Blackwater Bossing Key Points
- Macau Black Bears have lost eight of their nine 2025-26 Commissioner's Cup games.
- The Black Bears are PBA guests with no prior experience.
- Blackwater Bossing have fared relatively better than Macau Black Bears in the competition.
- The Bossing boast greater PBA experience than Macau Black Bears.
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Our Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing Prediction
This match features two teams struggling for results in the competition. We expect a thriller as they lock horns for the first time, looking to better their fortunes and boost their slender hopes of a playoff finish.
However, Blackwater Bossing holds a clear advantage over the Macau Black Bears, given their richer experience in the competition and a relatively better results . We are tipping Blackwater Bossing to secure victory or keep the game close. Our Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing prediction : Blackwater Bossing +3.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.