Lyon vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Two sides enjoying good form, Lyon and Rennes will lock horns in the French Ligue 1 this Sunday. Both sides are eyeing European football, and this match has massive ramifications in that respect, with a point separating third-placed Lyon from fifth-placed Rennes. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Lyon were beaten for their third time in four meetings with Rennes in the reverse fixture. They come into this game a much stronger unit, having posted three straight wins.
The latest of them was a 3-2 victory against Auxerre, lifting them to 57 points, six behind second-placed Lens. Les Gones will be keen on building on their three wins in the last five matches when hosting Rennes.
Rennes will carry into this encounter the league's best form across the last four rounds. They beat relegation candidates Nantes 2-1 in their last match, posting four straight wins.
That was also their eighth win in the last 10 matches, a run that includes a win against PSG. Rennes have only lost once in that 10-game run and have also been posting good numbers in defence.
The visitors kept five clean sheets in their latest 10 matches and will look to seal a double over Lyon following a 3-1 win in September. That marked their third win in four meetings with Lyon.
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Lyon v Rennes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.13 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.74 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.74 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.7 | 3.15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Rennes match is: over 2.5 goals + BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Lyon and Rennes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.53% for a win of Lyon against Rennes with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Rennes is 20.23% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Lyon with odds of 3.36 at 888Starz.
Lyon - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 45.24% | 3.36 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.81% | 1.7 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rennes | 18.74% | 8.25 at LSbet |
Lyon vs Rennes Form
Lyon and Rennes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 |
Lyon and Rennes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
Lyon vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Descamps
DefenderR. Kluivert
N. Tagliafico
MidfielderN. Nartey
A. Karabec
M. De Carvalho
P. Sulc
M. Fofana
E. Nuamah
K. Belazzoug
M. Silistrie
DefenderM. Nagida
A. Rouault
MidfielderL. Blas
D. Cisse
G. Kamara
ForwardY. Zabiri
N. Mukiele
Missing players
H. Hateboer
MidfielderO. Mangala
ForwardR. Himbert
P. Frankowski
J. Jacquet
ForwardA. Nordin
L. Rosier
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Rennes
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
E. Lepaul
(21 Goals)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
M. Altamari
(6 Assists)
Lyon - Rennes Key Points
- Both sides scored in three of Rennes’ last four outings.
- Three of Lyon’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
- Each of Rennes’ last four league matches produced 3+ goals.
- At home in the last six matches, Lyon managed just one clean sheet.
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Our Lyon vs Rennes Prediction
Lyon and Rennes are targeting the same thing: an automatic slot in the league stage of the Champions League. This will be a telling game in that respect, as only one point separates the two sides.
Lyon are coming here with two straight wins at home, while Rennes have posted four on the bounce away from home. The goals have also been flowing in these teams’ matches, and we can expect the same here. That is why our prediction for Lyon v Rennes is for over 2.5 goals + BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Rennes
| Lyon vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 2.22 | 2.18 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.9 | +4.3% |
| Rennes wins | 3.37 | 3.36 | -0.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rennes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.7% and is now 29.8% (0.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
