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22 September 2024 - 14:45 

- Day 5

France - Ligue 1

Lyon
VS
Marseille

Prediction :

Marseille to win and both teams to score

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Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions

Olympique Marseille will get the chance to test themselves against top opposition when they travel to Lyon in Ligue 1’s big game this weekend. Will Les Phoceens continue with their flying start away to Les Gones? Read on for the stats, our preview and predictions ahead of this humongous match.

Olympique Lyon will host this game on Sunday 22 September at the Groupama Stadium, starting 1845hrs GMT. Another slow start to the season sees Lyon struggling in the lower end of the Ligue 1 table with just four points gained from their opening four league matches.

Depending on other results, though, Lyon could leap into the top half this weekend. They will need such a lift, with the Europa League set to return, and fixtures starting to congest. Olympique Marseille, on the other hand, are enjoying life under new manager Roberto De Zerbi.

They are emerging as serious challengers to PSG’s domination and will reap from a lack of European football distractions this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Marseille Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.7 3.75 2.38
Ladbrokes
2.75 3.6 2.37
1xbet
3.09 3.96 2.28
22bet
3.09 3.96 2.28
Betobet
2.95 3.6 2.35
Betwinner
2.87 3.7 2.3
Stake
2.95 3.85 2.27
Melbet
2.98 3.8 2.2
Tonybet
2.95 3.85 2.28
Check all Lyon vs Marseille odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Marseille?

Our prediction for the Lyon vs Marseille match is: Marseille to win and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between Lyon and Marseille in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.69% for a win of Lyon against Marseille with odds of 3.09 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Marseille is 15.22% with odds of 3.96 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lyon with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.

Lyon - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:

Lyon Marseille Prediction Probability Odds
Marseille wins 54.09% 2.38 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 63.62% 1.81 at Stake
Both Team To Score 44.17% 1.53 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time: Marseille/Marseille 22.16% 3.75 at Bet365

Lyon vs Marseille Form

Lyon and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Marseille
Marseille
14 7 4 2 1 8
11
Lyon
Lyon
7 6 2 1 3 -4

Lyon and Marseille Last Matches

Lyon
Lyon Last matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  0
Lyon

30 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
4 :  3
Strasbourg

24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
0 :  2
Monaco

18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  0
Lyon

11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Lyon

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
0 :  4
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille Last matches
D W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Nice

31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  3
Marseille

25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Reims

17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  5
Marseille

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  3
Marseille

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
2 :  2
Sunderland

Lyon against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

Lyon

50 %

Draw

0 %

Marseille

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Lyon

23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Marseille

6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Lyon

1 May 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
Lyon

1 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Marseille
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Lyon - Marseille: Form Analysis

This weekend we will witness the 109th league meeting between these two iconic clubs. Forget about Lyon’s troubles this early in the season, they hold the head-to-head advantage in this fixture. The hosts have 37 wins and 31 losses while 40 matches have been drawn in the previous 108 meetings.

With such numbers, Pierre Sage will want to see his charges rise to the occasion in an already shaky season. Les Gones started the campaign with concerning defeats at Rennes (3-0) then at home to Monaco (2-0).

However, after avoiding defeat in the last two matches, there’s some semblance of normalcy returning. Lyon staged a stunning comeback on Match Day 3, rising from 3-1 with 30 minutes remaining, to beat Strasbourg 4-3.

That marked their first win of the season before heading to Lens and leaving with a respectable 0-0 draw.

As they return home, Lyon, drawing from last season’s lessons, will understand just how key getting points this early can be.

Lyon hold the head to head advantage in this game but have been struggling.

Marseille will also carry lessons from last season as they come into this heavyweight encounter. It is because of the failures of the 2023/24 season that they have no continental football in this campaign.

That could offer a silver lining for Marseille though, as they look to mount a serious challenge against PSG. There are all the signs Marseille will prevail under former Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi.

Four matches in and they aren’t affording PSG much breathing space, being just two points behind. In a month’s time Marseille will host the champions and they’ll want to get there while still within touching distance.

A 5-1 win against Le Havre marked a strong start for Marseille who haven't looked back. They were slowed a bit by Reims in a 2-2 draw but normal order returned in wins against Toulouse and most recently 2-0 at home to Nice.

With three straight wins on the road in Ligue 1, Marseille have shown intent to address their poor away form that cost them last season.

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Lyon against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Lyon

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

23
L. Perri
22
C. Mata
55
D. Caleta-Car
3
N. Tagliafico
98
A. Maitland-Niles
7
J. Veretout
31
N. Matic
8
C. Tolisso
16
A. Vinicius
9
G. Orban
10
A. Lacazette
9
S. Wahi
44
Luis Henrique
10
M. Greenwood
11
A. Harit
19
G. Kondogbia
23
P. Hojbjerg
51
I. Kone
5
L. Balerdi
20
L. Brassier
62
A. Murillo
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Marseille

Missing players

Lyon
Lyon
Midfielder

N. Matic

C. Mata

Forward

E. Honore Molebe

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

R. Blanco

Defender

Q. Merlin

B. Meite

Midfielder

B. Nadir

I. Kone

Forward

F. Moumbagna

Lyon & Marseille Squad Analysis

As far as injuries and suspensions are concerned, Lyon seem to be in the clear. Their only unavailable player is Ivorian international Wilfried Zaha.

A loanee from Galatasaray, the winger is said to be nursing an injury and we don’t expect to see him here. Lyon could unleash Jordan Veretout to face his former employers here. The new signing came off the bench against Lens.

Gift Orban and Alexandre Lacazette will also be good options for Lyon in attack.

Marseille coach has a selection headache with Derek Cornelius suspended.

The visitors are set to miss more players than Lyon. Canadian Derek Cornelius is a definite absentee following his sending off against Nice. That is bound to give De Zerbi a selection headache in defence.

Another defender, Quentin Merlin is a confirmed absentee, with a thigh injury. To some better news, Adrien Rabiot could be a starter here, having arrived after the international break during which he featured for France.

Lyon - Marseille Key Points

  1. Lyon have one clean sheet in the last four matches.
  2. Marseille have one clean sheet in their last four matches.
  3. Marseille are unbeaten this season, winning three of four matches.
  4. In five of Lyon’s six home league matches both teams scored.
  5. Marseille have three wins in the last four meetings with Lyon.
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Our Lyon vs Marseille Prediction

It isn’t a secret that Lyon’s defence has been a big let-down so far in the season. Here the hosts will feel the heat, taking on this attacking Marseille side coached by an attack-minded manager.

In their opening four matches, Lyon have conceded eight times, which isn’t good enough. Though they’ve done well in this fixture, the hosts will know sometimes derbies defy that.

Marseille, on their part haven't also been as clean defensively, coming here with one clean sheet in four matches. De Zerbi will, however, care less if his team can outscore Lyon. They’ve scored 12 times in the opening four matches.

Our prediction for Lyon v Marseille is for Marseille to win and both teams to score.

Prediction :

Marseille to win and both teams to score

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Lyon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 3.5 goals

This match has all the writings of a high scoring fixture; in Lyon’s last home match, a total of seven goals were scored. Here they face a Marseille side whose matches this season have had an average of four goals.

Being a derby and with all the stakes, we will back over 3.5 goals as our second prediction.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Marseille

Lyon vs Marseille Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lyon wins 2.5 2.7 +8.0%
Draw 3.4 3.75 +10.3%
Marseille wins 2.5 2.38 -4.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Marseille is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 42.0% (2.0%)

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

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A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.

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Lyon vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions

The Lyon v Marseille game will be played on Sunday 22 September from 1845hrs GMT.

The Lyon v Marseille game will be staged at the Groupama Stadium.

Benoit Bastien has been appointed the Lyon v Marseille referee. He will be assisted by Hicham Zakrani and Aurelien Berthomieu.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lyon vs Marseille Prediction
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