ATP - ATP Bastad Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The 2025 ATP Bastad final will be contested by sixth seed Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong. A two-time tour champion, Darderi will obviously find favor in the predictions, but De Jong has already shown he can match the best at this ATP 250 event.
This marks the first-ever meeting for the two players. Darderi entered his last two matches as the underdog but managed to overcome fellow seeded players Sebastian Baez and Francisco Cerundolo.
He beat Cerundolo 2-1 in the semis, a match that lasted over two and a half hours, and rose to 49th in the live rank. The Italian hasn’t lost an ATP tour final match before, winning titles in Cordoba and Marrakech.
De Jong has the platform to overcome another big player here. On his route to the final, he beat Vit Kopriva, Tallon Griekspoor, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Before meeting those seeded players, he had seen off William Rejchtman Vinciguerra in straight sets.
The Dutchman has only dropped one set at Bastad, a stark contrast to his 10 earlier matches, when he conceded in each. With his latest run, De Jong will feel capable of upsetting another higher-ranked player.
His win against Carabelli, improved his record for the season to 24-21 and 18-11 on clay. In the live rank, the world No. 106 is now 83rd, a career high.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luciano Darderi v Jesper De Jong Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 2.63 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.48 |
|
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Who will win the Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong match is: Darderi to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong game on 20/07/2025 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Luciano Darderi has a 55.88% chance to win against Jesper De Jong according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.54.
- Jesper De Jong has a 44.12% probability of winning facing Luciano Darderi ⭐ with odds of 2.77 at 22bet.
Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luciano Darderi has a 55.88 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | 55.88 % |
| Jesper De Jong | 44.12 % |
Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Form
Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong Key Points
- In Darderi’s last eight matches, he lost only once.
- Six of De Jong’s last 10 outings needed a deciding set.
- De Jong failed to win a set in just one of his last 10 matches.
- Darderi has a perfect record in title matches, currently at 2-0.
- A deciding set was needed in five of Darderi’s last nine matches.
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Our Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Prediction
Luciano Darderi will, for the first time in three matches, enter a game as the favorite. He takes on a player who has shown great ability even when playing as an underdog. De Jong has only dropped one set at Bastad, a run that will pump him up going into his maiden ATP tour-level final.
The Dutchman faces a player who has eliminated two top contenders and has an unbeaten record in finals. Meanwhile, Darderi is playing in his third final and looks to go 3-0. Our prediction for Luciano Darderi v Jesper De Jong is for Darderi to win in three sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Luciano Darderi or Jesper De Jong , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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