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Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 88 Italy
Luca Nardi
03/10/2025 07:50
ATP 37 France
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Prediction :

 

Over 22.5

1.6
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

32nd seed Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is up against unseeded Luca Nardi in round two of the Shanghai Masters. Whoever wins this outdoor hard court match will face either fifth seed Taylor Fritz or unseeded Fabian Marozsan next. Read our first round match prediction below.

Perricard received a bye into round two of this Masters tournament. The French player is up to 36th in the live rankings. He is chasing a first win in this tournament. His only previous appearance was last year when losing to Stan Wawrinka.

The 22-year-old has won ten of his 22 hard court matches played this year. Four of his last five matches on this surface have been lost. That run began with his semi-final loss to Botic van de Zandschulp in August's Winston Salem Open.

Luca Nardi will have to deal with his opponent's heavy serve. The Italian has also been struggling for form since August after a good run to the fourth round in Cincinnati.

The first round saw him have to come from a set down to get past Sebastian Ofner. That ended a run of three successive defeats for Nardi who is up to 81st in the live rankings. We tip over 22.5 games to be played in this match.

The Best Betting Odds for Luca Nardi v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.5 1.53
Betway
2.4 1.55
Ladbrokes
2.37 1.53
Unibet
2.48 1.55
Check all Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard odds
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Who will win the Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard match is: over 22.5 games to be played.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard game on 03/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Luca Nardi has a 44.26% chance to win against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 55.74% probability of winning facing Luca Nardi ⭐ with odds of 1.56 at 888Starz.

Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luca Nardi has a 44.26 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Luca Nardi44.26 %
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard55.74 %

Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Form

Luca Nardi and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Last Matches

Luca Nardi Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Sebastian Ofner
1 :  2
Luca Nardi

22 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Luca Nardi
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jakub Mensik
abort
Luca Nardi

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

20 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alexander Shevchenko
2 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

18 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Filip Misolic
1 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

22 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
2 :  0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

21 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Compare Luca Nardi and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard with our comparison tool.

Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Key Points

  1. Four of Nardi's last five completed best-of-three sets matches have had over 22.5 games played in them.
  2. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. There's been one in three of the last five completed Nardi matches over this format.
  3. The last four best-of-three sets matches played by Perricard have all had over 22.5 games played.
  4. Perricard has played four tie-breaks in his last two matches.

Our Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

We could be in for a tight match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Luca Nardi.  Both players could do with getting some wins under their belt in this tournament after some inconsistent results in the past couple of months.

A major factor is the heavy serve that Perricard has. A side bet on a tie-break could well produce a profit as he's played four in his last two matches. Our main Luca Nardi v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction is over 22.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

 

Over 22.5

1.6
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Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

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