Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Novak Djokovic is two matches away from his 11th Australian Open final. The fourth seed takes on fifth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti for a place in the final of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam.. Read our match prediction below.
For the winner, there’s a semi-final against either eighth-seeded Ben Shelton or top seed Jannik Sinner.
It’s a busy schedule in this Grand Slam in Melbourne. Novak Djokovic has had some time off though after his scheduled fourth round opponent Jakub Mensik withdrew. The 38-year-old Serb is yet to drop a set in this tournament/
Wins have come against Pedro Martinez, Francesco Maestrelli and Botic van de Zandschulp. Djokovic has dominated his previous matches against Musetti. He leads the Italian 9-1 in previous meetings, winning both of their matches on this surface. Musetti’s only win came on clay.
Lorenzo Musetti is playing in his first Australian Open quarter-final. He’s up to a career-high third in the live rankings. Djokovic is fourth but will go ahead of his opponent if he wins this match.
Musetti has dropped three sets so far in this first Grand Slam of 2026. Not so in round four though as he defeated the ninth seed Taylor Fritz in straight sets. We tip over 3.5 sets in this match.
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Lorenzo Musetti v Novak Djokovic Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.34 | 1.33 |
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3.34 | 1.33 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.1 | 1.32 |
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3.15 | 1.32 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic match is: more than 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic game on 27/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 32.99% chance to win against Novak Djokovic according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.55.
- Novak Djokovic has a 67.01% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at 888Starz.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 32.99 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 32.99 % |
| Novak Djokovic | 67.01 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
10 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
9 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
2 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament
12 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open
11 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Two of Musetti’s matches in this tournament have seen more than 3.5 sets played
- Both players won a set in their most recent match which was played on an indoor hard court.
- Last year eight of Musetti’s 14 matches in Grand Slams saw at least four sets.
- More than 3.5 sets have been played in eight of the last 15 matches Djokovic has played in the Australian Open.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match a place higher in the live rankings than Djokovic. He will be hoping to win this match and possibly set up an all-Italian semi-final against Jannik Sinner. Musetti has won seven of his eight matches this year.
Novak Djokovic will have appreciated not having to play his quarter-final match. He’s yet to drop a set in this tournament but did drop a set to Musetti when they last played each other. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Novak Djokovic prediction is more than 3.5 sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
