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Champions League • Group A Day 5
12/01/20 11:55 AM
Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 - 3
Finished
45' : 0 - 2
Salzburg
Salzburg

Tip Lokomotiv Moscow - Salzburg

Lokomotiv Moscow and Salzburg are the two sides yet to win their matches in Group A of the UEFA Champions League going to Match Day 5 of the competition. Ahead of this game in Russia, hosts Lokomotiv have three points in third place, while bottom placed Salzburg have one point. The Russian side has had a shaky season so far, and in the Russian league, they are seventh, seven points behind the leaders and they have the poorest goal difference in the top nine teams. It hasn’t been easy in Europe too and dropped points in this game could cost them a place in Europe after the group matches. Three points in this clash may see Lokomotiv Moscow rise to second place, but that is dependent of the Atletico Madrid – Bayern Munich game. The hosts go to this game on a run of three straight clean sheets and one win. That win, over Arsenal Tula in the Russian league, is however their only victory in the last nine matches. Lokomotiv have registered 0-0 draws in their last two matches, these also represent the only matches in which they have failed to score in the last 13 outings. They have four clean sheets in their last eight home matches and have scored in 11 of their last 12 home matches. In the Champions League though, it has not been an easy ride for the Russians, with a nine – game winless run in the competition, having lost six. They have one clean sheet in 11 Champions League matches and at home in the last five, they have lost four and drawn one. Lokomotiv Moscow have however scored in five of their last seven home matches in the competition.

Salzburg, on the other hand, managed their first win in five matches on Saturday, and will hope the 8-2 thrashing of St. Polten drives them in this Champions League clash. With six points to play for in the last two matches in this group, chances that they can make it to the second round are almost non-existent. A win here would however place them in a good position to vie for a Europa League place and they will depend on their good scoring form in the run up to this match. Mergim Berisha has been a key man upfront, with four goals in the last five games, while the team has scored in each of its 17 matches this season and will eye the same here. However, they have no clean sheet in the last five matches. Six of their last seven matches have produced over 2.5 goals and each of the last six matches in the Champions League has also produced over 2.5 goals. Salzburg go to this game having lost all their last three Champions League matches. They opened their Champions League campaign with a 2-2 draw with Lokomotiv Moscow and have so far conceded two or more in their four group games. However, Salzburg have scored two or more goals in five of their last six Champions League matches and have scored in each of the last six away matches in the Champions League.

Key points Lokomotiv Moscow - Salzburg

  • Lokomotiv Moscow have scored in 11 of their last 12 home matches.

  • Lokomotiv Moscow have no win in their last nine Champions League matches.

  • Salzburg are winless in their last four Champions League matches.

  • Salzburg have scored two or more in five of the last six Champions League matches.

  • Lokomotiv Moscow have scored in five of their last seven Champions League games at home.

Conclusion Lokomotiv Moscow - Salzburg

These two sides are the weakest in this group and while they still have a chance of advancing to the second round, the realistic target for them should be finishing third. They both don’t have good runs in the Champions League and the 2-2 draw in the first meeting is reflective of their strengths. They both haven’t had great runs ahead of this match and a draw looks very likely here, with either side expected to score, just like it was in the first meeting in the group.

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Lokomotiv Moscow Salzburg Prediction published on November 29, 2020

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.