Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Liverpool

16/03/2025 12:30

Newcastle

Prediction :

Liverpool wins

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Prediction published on 14/03/2025, 12:30 by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions

It was not a good midweek for Liverpool as they exited the Champions League. They will hope for a better Sunday when they take on Newcastle United at Wembley in the Carabao Cup. Can the Reds win the cup for the second successive season? Read our match prediction.

Liverpool have won this competition for a record ten times. A win over Newcastle will see them become the first club since Manchester City in 2021 to retain the trophy. They have reached this final having beaten four Premier League clubs and will want to make it five on Sunday.

The Magpies will be out to stop them and win this competition for the first time. This is their second Carabao Cup final in the space of three years. This year is the 70th anniversary of the last time Newcastle won a domestic cup competition. Winning this trophy on Sunday would be a major achievement for them.

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Liverpool vs Newcastle Form

Liverpool and Newcastle Last Matches

Liverpool Last matches

All Home Away

D W W W W L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool

0 : 1

PSG

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

3 : 1

Southampton

5 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSG

0 : 1

Liverpool

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

0 : 2

Liverpool

19 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa

2 : 2

Liverpool

W W W W W L

Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool

0 : 1

PSG

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

3 : 1

Southampton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

16 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 1

Wolves

6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool

4 : 0

Tottenham

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

4 : 1

Ipswich Town

W L D D W W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSG

0 : 1

Liverpool

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

0 : 2

Liverpool

19 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa

2 : 2

Liverpool

12 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 2

Liverpool

9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Plymouth

1 : 0

Liverpool

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 2

Liverpool

Newcastle Last matches

All Home Away

W L W L L W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

2.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2025 - Premier League

West Ham

0 : 1

Newcastle

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle

1 : 2

Brighton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 3

Nottingham Forest

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

4 : 0

Newcastle

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Birmingham

2 : 3

Newcastle

W L L W W L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle

1 : 2

Brighton

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 3

Nottingham Forest

5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

2 : 0

Arsenal

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 2

Fulham

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 4

Bournemouth

15 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

3 : 0

Wolves

W W W L L W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2025 - Premier League

West Ham

0 : 1

Newcastle

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

4 : 0

Newcastle

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Birmingham

2 : 3

Newcastle

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 3

Newcastle

7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

0 : 2

Newcastle

Liverpool vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

83 %

Draw

17 %

Newcastle

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67

Total goals

66.67%

BTTS

2.5

Goals scored

1.17

Goals conceded

66.67%

Over 2.5

33.33%

Under 2.5

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

3 : 3

Liverpool

1 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

4 : 2

Newcastle

27 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 2

Liverpool

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

0 : 2

Liverpool

31 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 1

Newcastle

Liverpool - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Liverpool lost to PSG in midweek and their hopes of again winning the Champions League ended in a penalty shootout. The Reds had won four games in a row before that loss and are 15 points clear at the top of the Premier League.

They have played five games on the road to this Wembley showpiece. First up for them was a 5-1 home win over West Ham after conceding an early goal. Their next three games were all played away from Anfield with wins at Brighton and Southampton.

The semi-finals saw them lose the away first leg to Tottenham 1-0. They fought back well to win the home second leg 4-0. The loss to Spurs is their only defeat in the last 11 Carabao Cup games they have played.

Newcastle United had a good 1-0 win at West Ham on Monday. A win over Liverpool on Sunday will guarantee them European football next season. Six games have had to be played to reach this final.

Tough route to the final for Newcastle.

It was tough in their first match as they needed a penalty shootout to win at Nottingham Forest. They beat AFC Wimbledon 1-0 at home and then won four more games, all against Premier League sides. CChelsea, Brentford and Arsenal were beaten with only one goal conceded.

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Liverpool vs Newcastle last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

A. Mac Allister

L. Diaz

D. Szoboszlai

J. Quansah

R. Gravenberch

I. Konate

M. Salah

V. Van Dijk

C. Kelleher

D. Jota

A. Robertson

J. Murphy

Joelinton

A. Isak

N. Pope

K. Trippier

D. Burn

F. Schar

T. Livramento

S. Tonali

H. Barnes

B. Guimaraes

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Newcastle

Substitutes

Liverpool

Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

K. Tsimikas

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

R. Gravenberch 74'

C. Jones

I. Konate 57'

J. McConnell

H. Elliott

L. Diaz 74'

W. Endo

Forward

C. Gakpo

A. Mac Allister 67'

D. Nunez

D. Jota 57'

Newcastle

Goalkeeper

M. Dubravka

Defender

E. Krafth

J. Murphy 90'

M. Targett

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

L. Miley

J. Willock

H. Barnes 81'

Forward

W. Osula

C. Wilson

A. Isak 81'

S. Neave

Missing players

Liverpool

Defender

J. Gomez

C. Bradley

Newcastle

Defender

S. Botman

L. Hall

Liverpool & Newcastle Squad Analysis

Will Arne Slot win his first trophy at Liverpool? Doing so will ease the midweek disappointment of being knocked out of the Champions League. That defeat wasn't the only piece of bad news they had because Trent Alexander-Arnold has been ruled out of this Carabao Cup final.

That means Liverpool have no senior right-back available for this cup final and Jarell Quansah is expected to start the game. He's scored one goal so far in this season's competition. The trouble is it was an own goal against West Ham.

Ibrahima Konate also had to go off against PSG in midweek but is expected to play on Sunday. Mo Salah has only scored once in this season's Carabao Cup but he will hope to add to that tally against Newcastle.

No Gordon for United.

United will be without Anthony Gordon for this match. He is suspended after being sent off in their FA Cup loss to Brighton. His absence will hurt the Magpies as he has scored in their last two Carabao Cup games. He'll be replaced by Harvey Barnes.

Alexander Isak is fit to play and in defence will be Dan Burn who has just been named in the England squad for the first time.

Most goals and assists

Liverpool

Newcastle

Top Goalscorer

C. Gakpo (5 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

A. Isak (3 Goals)

Best assists

F. Chiesa (1 Assists) ,

C. Jones (1 Assists) ,

D. Nunez (1 Assists) ,

T. Morton (1 Assists) ,

T. Alexander-Arnold (1 Assists) ,

C. Gakpo (1 Assists) ,

M. Salah (1 Assists) ,

A. Mac Allister (1 Assists) ,

C. Bradley (1 Assists) ,

H. Elliott (1 Assists)

Best assists

J. Murphy (2 Assists)

Liverpool - Newcastle Key Points

Liverpool are the Carabao Cup holders.
Newcastle have lost their last five domestic cup finals.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 games against Newcastle.
Newcastle last beat Liverpool in 2015.
All Newcastle's wins against Liverpool since 1995 have been achieved on home soil.

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Our Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction

Liverpool face Newcastle in the Carabao Cup looking to win this competition for a record-extending 11th time. They won this trophy last season, beating Chelsea in the final. Less than a month ago, the Reds beat Newcastle 2-0 at Anfield and Mo Salah will be part of a strong line-up.

It would so much to Newcastle to finally lift a domestic trophy. Their hopes of doing so have been hit by the absence of Gordon and Isak isn't quite in the scoring form he was in earlier this year. Our main Liverpool v Newcastle prediction is Liverpool to win.

Prediction :

Liverpool wins

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Liverpool vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions

Mo Salah to score

Odds 1.57

Mo Salah continues to be in good scoring form for Liverpool. The Egyptian scored for Liverpool in the second leg of their semi-final against Tottenham.

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Liverpool vs Newcastle - FAQs

The Carabao Cup final is being played on Sunday March 16 and is scheduled to begin at 16:30 UK time.

This is the Carabao Cup final and will be played on a neutral ground. That means this Sunday's match will be played at Wembley Stadium in North London.

For UK TV viewers to watch this Carabao Cup final live, they will need to go to either ITV1 or Sky Sports, though a subscription is required for the latter. It will also be shown online at ITVX. You can also follow the action on our Carabao Cup livescore with updated statistics.

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