Lille vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Europa League Predictions
Lille and Red Star Belgrade are set to battle it out at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League knockout playoffs. Red Star Belgrade have gotten the better of their opponents in this impending encounter, winning 1-0 in November 2025. Can the Serbian side make it two wins on the bounce? Here's our match prediction.
Lille finished in 18th place in the UEFA Europa League - league phase standings. They won four and lost four of their last eight games, accumulating 12 points. This marks their first appearance in the knockout playoff round since 2021, and they will be hoping for a positive outcome.
Red Star Belgrade, on the other hand, finished in 15th place in the league phase standings with 14 points. They needed just two points to secure a top-eight finish, which would've guaranteed automatic progression to the last 16. The Serbian side will seek to secure a positive outcome on the road against this opponent despite their struggles against French opposition.
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Lille v Red Star Belgrade Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.38 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.08 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Red Star Belgrade match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between Lille and Red Star Belgrade in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.99% for a win of Lille against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 1.67 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Red Star Belgrade is 18.22% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs Lille with odds of 6.05 at Melbet.
Lille - Red Star Belgrade Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Red Star Belgrade Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 58.78% | 6.05 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.91% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Red Star Belgrade | 27.17% | 12 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Lille and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Feb 2026 - Serbia Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
1 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Feb 2026 - Serbia Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
15 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
Lille vs Red Star Belgrade Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Lille - Red Star Belgrade: Form Analysis
Lille are enduring a rough patch at the moment, heading into this clash. They've won just one of their last nine matches across all competitions (D2, L6).
Their recent match was a 1-1 home draw against Brest in Ligue 1. That marked their second consecutive draw in this competition.
Les Dogues now shift their focus to the UEFA Europa League. Their last match in this competition was a 1-0 home victory against Freiburg. The game was won right at the death as Olivier Giroud scored the only goal from the spot. That result halted a two-match losing streak.
Red Star Belgrade are winless in their last nine away matches against French opposition
Red Star Belgrade concluded their UEFA Europa League - league phase campaign on a positive note. Besides going five games unbeaten, they won four of their last five games during this run.
In their last match, they faced Celta Vigo. The result was a 1-1 draw. That result halted a four-match winning streak. Following that result, they went on to win four games in domestic competition.
The Star find themselves on the road in the UEL knockout playoff round. Despite their impressive run, there's reason to believe they'll struggle for a favourable outcome in this one. Their performance on the road has left much to be desired, particularly against French opposition. They've yet to win a match in their last nine outings (D2, L7).
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Lille against Red Star Belgrade Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bodart
Z. Lanssade
DefenderM. Goffi
T. Santos
C. Mbemba
C. Verdonk
MidfielderL. Baret
S. Boussadia
N. Bentaleb
N. Edjouma
S. Diaoune
O. Giroud
V. Draskic
O. Glazer
DefenderA. Avdic
S. Gudelj
M. Veljkovic
V. Kostov
N. Stankovic
M. Bajo
L. Zaric
ForwardM. Arnautovic
D. Owusu
A. Katai
Missing players
Alexsandro
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
M. Broholm
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
Lille & Red Star Belgrade Squad Analysis
Lille are dealing with an injury crisis at the moment. As many as six players are in the treatment room, including Hamza Igamane, Osame Sahraoui, Ethan Mbappe, Thomas Meunier, Ousmane Toure, and Noah Edjouma.
Other than that, head coach Bruno Genesio should be able to deploy a strong lineup for this upcoming encounter. The 4-2-3-1 formation should be his go-to setup.
We could see Olivier Giroud lead the attack in this one. Giroud finished with three goals in the league phase standings. He was one goal shy of matching the injured Hamza Igamane's four. All eyes will be on the veteran to deliver an impressive performance in the knockout playoff rounds.
Bruno Duarte could be introduced as a game-changing substitute after scoring an equaliser in his last UEFA Europa League match against Celta Vigo.
Red Star Belgrade have no injury worries heading into this clash. A 4-4-2 formation could be the preferred setup for this crucial encounter against Lille.
Bruno Duarte scored his second goal in the UEFA Europa League last time out against Celta Vigo. He could prove to be a threat in the final third, having scored five goals in his last four matches. Four of those goals were scored on the road. However, he will be brought in as a game-changing substitute.
Most goals and assists
Lille
Red Star Belgrade
O. Giroud
(4 Goals)
, 
H. Igamane
(4 Goals)
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
, 
V. Kostov
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Duarte
(2 Goals)
F. Correia
(2 Assists)
, 
T. Meunier
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Haraldsson
(2 Assists)
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
Lille - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Lille have seen eight of their last 16 home matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Red Star Belgrade have seen each of their last four matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Three of Lille's four home matches in the UEFA Europa League have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Red Star Belgrade are averaging 2.2 goals per game away from home.
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Our Lille vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
Lille are the favourites heading into this clash. If it wasn't for their opponents' struggles in French soil, this matchup could've gone against them. This is a side that has won just one of their last five matches, whilst recording three losses and one draw. However, they've won their last two home matches in the UEL, scoring five goals in the process.
Red Star Belgrade have struggled on French soil, and that's not something new. However, they shouldn't be underestimated after winning their last two away matches in this competition. Our Lille vs Red Star Belgrade prediction: more than 2.5 goals.
Lille vs Red Star Belgrade Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Red Star Belgrade
| Lille vs Red Star Belgrade | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.5 | 1.67 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 4.87 | 4.6 | -5.5% |
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 6.92 | 6.05 | -12.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 14.5% and is now 16.5% (2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
