Lille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The only teams to have won the Ligue 1 title in the last nine seasons, Lille and PSG, face off in the highlight clash of matchday two. Giants PSG have encountered early headwinds in their pursuit of another season of domestic domination. As they seek a first win in three outings, Stade Pierre-Mauroy faithful will be out to cheer Lille to a rare win in this encounter.
Lille’s first home game will be their chance to not only slow down a direct competitor for the title but also extend their own good start. PSG are coming from a battling draw with Rennes, which was preceded by a loss to Lens in the Trophee des Champions.
Meanwhile, Lille opened their campaign with a win against Angers. The champions have yet to keep a clean sheet this season, while Lille scored in each of their last five home league games against PSG. This run backs our prediction for both sides to score.
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Lille v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.95 | 1.74 |
|
|
3.27 | 3.37 | 2.04 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.92 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.96 | 1.72 |
|
|
3.27 | 3.37 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lille vs PSG match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2026 between Lille and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.78% for a win of Lille against PSG with odds of 4.68 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs PSG is 32.14% with odds of 4.07 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.08% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lille with odds of 2.04 at 1xbet.
Lille vs PSG Form
Lille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
6
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Lille and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2026 - Trophée des Champions
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2026 - Trophée des Champions
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
6 May 2026 - Champions League
Lille vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille - PSG: Form Analysis
Lille had the perfect start to Ligue 1, as debuting coach Davide Ancelotti led the side to a 2-0 win away to Angers. They now have a massive chance to put a marker of their season’s ambitions when they face the champions. Last season Lille had their highest finish since winning the league title six years ago.
Despite that positive mark, they still wrapped up their season 15 points behind PSG. There’s more riding on their ambition to pin down this PSG side struggling at these opening stages – home form. Les Dogues have won their first home league game of the season in each of the last four campaigns.
In the last nine seasons, only Lille have stopped PSG from winning back-to-back league titles.
PSG are keen for their winless start in domestic action not to extend to three games off the back of a very successful campaign. Les Parisiens expertly battled Lens to win the league title last season, then defended their Champions League crown successfully.
They went on to beat Aston Villa in the UEFA Super Cup, but when domestic action returned, they faltered, twice. It started with a 1-0 loss to Lens in the Trophée des Champions, a frustrating outing that saw Nuno Mendes sent off late. Then came the Rennes game, which saw the champions rise from 2-0 down to draw 2-2.
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Lille vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderI. Cossier
L. Srdanovic
C. Verdonk
MidfielderG. Perrin
O. Sahraoui
ForwardN. Edjouma
S. Diaoune
F. Correia
L. Chevalier
DefenderL. Digne
I. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
MidfielderP. Fernandez
F. Ruiz
M. Akliouche
ForwardF. Torres
M. Godts
Missing players
T. Nianzou
ForwardH. Igamane
N. Mendes
ForwardB. Barcola
I. Mbaye
Lille & PSG Squad Analysis
The last time Lille hosted a side from the capital, Olivier Giroud scored a brace. That was against Paris FC last season. The Frenchman opened the scoring on matchday one against Rennes and will hope it provides the springboard for another such performance here.
His last goal against PSG came 15 years ago while at Bordeaux. That was in a Coupe de la Ligue game in 2011, a season that he also helped Bordeaux win the league. The World Cup winner will definitely want to roll back the years.
PSG will miss Nuno Mendes, who is suspended while Bradley Barcola remains unavailable.
At PSG, a new hero has arisen in the shape of Ferran Torres. The Spaniard recently arrived from Barcelona, a marquee signing. Earlier seen as a replacement for Gonçalo Ramos, he is shaping his own trajectory. Torres, who holds a special relationship with manager Luis Enrique, saved his coach from matchday one embarrassment with a brace in their draw against Rennes.
Coming off the bench after halftime, the man who scored the World Cup winner didn’t need long to endear himself to the PSG fans as he buried two assists from another Spaniard, Fabian Ruiz. After replacing Ousmane Dembele, Torres looks set to start this game.
Most goals and assists
Lille
PSG
O. Giroud
(1 Goals)
, 
T. Santos
(1 Goals)
F. Torres
(2 Goals)
N. Bentaleb
(1 Assists)
F. Ruiz
(2 Assists)
Lille and PSG Stats in Ligue 1
Lille - PSG Key Points
- Lille only failed to score in three of their last 10 outings.
- Lille failed to score once in the last 12 meetings with PSG.
- PSG haven’t managed a clean sheet in their first three matches of the season.
- Both Lille and PSG got on the score sheet in the last five times Lille hosted this fixture.
- Both teams scored in PSG’s last five away matches.
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Our Lille vs PSG Prediction
Lille rarely come out tops in this encounter, but their own start to the season as well as PSG’s slip-ups could offer a chance. The hosts are confident, coming from an away win at Angers, and will hope to build on it, given their history in season-opening home matches.
However, they are facing a formidable side, despite PSG’s struggles. The visitors have dominated even in matches played here and will be looking to carry on in the same way. What isn’t guaranteed, though, is that they can keep a clean sheet. Our prediction for Lille v PSG is for BTTS.
Lille vs PSG Alternative Predictions
PSG wins
PSG sparked to life in the second half of their last outing after going to the break trailing. The champions are expected to push for early control here as they look to kickstart their domestic season.
They have a dominant record in this encounter, and with an in-form Ferran Torres leading the line, much will go in their favor. Here, our second prediction backs PSG to win.
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Lille vs PSG - FAQs
Lille last beat PSG in 2021. They’ve lost to PSG eight times between then and now.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
