Lens vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lens
08/05/2026 14:45
Nantes

Prediction :

 

Lens wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lens will hope to keep pushing for the Ligue 1 title when they host relegation-threatened Nantes. With three matches to go, second-placed Lens have fallen six points behind leaders PSG. Meanwhile, Nantes, second from bottom, are eyeing the playoff spot, trailing Auxerre by five points. Lens’ dominance over Nantes means the key prediction is for them to win this match. 

Lens haven’t had much trouble facing Nantes lately. In the last three meetings they hosted this opponent, Lens won.

Les Sang et Or also claimed a 2-1 win in the reverse meeting but come here off back-to-back draws, most recently conceding late to draw 1-1 with Nice.

Nantes have garnered 23 points in 32 matches.They kept their survival dreams alive with a 3-0 win against Marseille last time out, but their fate is no longer in their hands. 

Les Canaris must win their remaining two matches and hope that Auxerre, in the playoff position, loses their two. That way they would get to the playoff position and get another chance to fight for their place in the topflight. 

The visitors have lost three of their last five matches against Lens. Away from home in this fixture, Nantes suffered eight defeats in the last 12.

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Lens v Nantes Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.49 4.9 6.2
Melbet
1.43 4.9 6.65
Betwinner
1.43 4.9 6.65
Bet365
1.33 4.5 8.5
Roobet
1.43 4.8 6.4
Check all Lens vs Nantes odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Nantes?

Our prediction for the Lens vs Nantes match is: Lens wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/05/2026 between Lens and Nantes in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.04% for a win of Lens against Nantes with odds of 1.49 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Nantes is 18.64% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Lens with odds of 8.5 at Bet365.

Lens - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:

Lens Nantes Prediction Probability Odds
Lens wins 69.04% 1.49 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 71.91% 1.57 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 59.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens 29.77% 4.5 at LSbet

Lens vs Nantes Form

Lens and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Lens
70 34 22 4 8 +31
17 Nantes
23 33 5 8 20 -23

Lens and Nantes Last Matches

Lens
Lens Last matches
W L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Lens

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  0
Lens

20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
5 :  1
Angers
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse

20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
5 :  1
Angers

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Metz

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  3
Monaco

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  1
Rennes
D D L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Lens

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  0
Lens

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Lens

5 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lyon
2 :  2
Lens

27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Lens
Nantes
Nantes Last matches
D D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  0
Marseille

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  1
Nantes

22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Nantes

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Brest

11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Nantes

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Nantes
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  0
Marseille

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Brest

22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  3
Strasbourg

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
Angers

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  0
Le Havre

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
Lyon
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  1
Nantes

22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Nantes

11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Nantes

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Nantes

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Nantes

13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  1
Nantes

Lens vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lens

67 %

Draw

0 %

Nantes

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens

23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  1
Lens

9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Nantes

3 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
Lens

28 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
4 :  0
Nantes

1 Mar 2023 - French Cup

Nantes
2 :  1
Lens

Lens against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11

Lens

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

40
R. Risser
25
I. Ganiou
6
S. Baidoo
20
M. Sarr
19
A. Sima
5
A. Bulatovic
21
A. Haidara
14
M. Udol
22
W. Said
11
O. Edouard
38
R. Fofana
37
I. Ganago
10
M. Abline
24
F. Guilbert
8
J. Lepenant
28
I. Sissoko
21
M. Kaba
22
M. Acapandie
3
N. Cozza
26
U. Radakovic
6
C. Awaziem
1
A. Lopes

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Nantes

Substitutes

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

M. Gorgelin

Defender

N. Celik

K. Antonio

A. Masuaku

R. Aguilar

O. Edouard 59'

Midfielder

M. Soares

A. Sima 79'

F. Sylla

A. Haidara 65'

A. Bermont

W. Said 78'

Forward

F. Sotoca

R. Fofana 46'

Nantes
Nantes
Goalkeeper

P. Carlgren

Defender

S. Doucoure

A. Yousef

U. Radakovic 66'

Midfielder

D. Tabibou

F. Guilbert 87'

B. Guirassy

L. Leroux

M. Kaba 82'

R. Cabella

Forward

El Arabi

M. Abline 82'

M. Mohamed

I. Ganago 82'

Missing players

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

R. Gurtner

Defender

J. Gradit

S. Abdulhamid

Midfielder

A. Thomasson

M. Sangare

Forward

F. Thauvin

A. Saint-Maximin

Nantes
Nantes
Goalkeeper

A. Mirbach

Defender

D. Machado

K. Amian

F. Centonze

T. Tati

Midfielder

F. Coquelin

B. Deuff

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lens
CD Huachipato Nantes
Top Goalscorer
France W. Said (12 Goals)
Haiti O. Edouard (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Abline (6 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Thomasson (10 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Abline (3 Assists)

Lens - Nantes Key Points

  1. Lens secured an away win in the reverse meeting with Nantes.
  2. Nantes have won once in their last five meetings with Lens.
  3. Away from home, Nantes lost each of their last three meetings with Lens.
  4. Lens lost once in 16 home matches in all competitions.
  5. Nantes are winless in seven away matches.
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Our Lens vs Nantes Prediction

Nantes posted a shock win in their last game as they continue with their push for survival. They will be seeking back-to-back wins for the first time in Ligue 1 this season. However, their away form suggests this will be a big shot.

The visitors come into this game unbeaten in seven outings, yet they face one of the top sides when playing at home. Lens have only lost once in their last 16 matches in all competitions. With such numbers, our prediction for Lens v Nantes is that Lens wins.

Prediction :

 

Lens wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Nantes

Lens vs Nantes Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lens wins 1.29 1.49 +15.5%
Draw 5.8 5.2 -10.3%
Nantes wins 11 8.5 -22.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lens is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 15.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 67.1% (-10.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lens vs Nantes Prediction