Lens vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens will hope to keep pushing for the Ligue 1 title when they host relegation-threatened Nantes. With three matches to go, second-placed Lens have fallen six points behind leaders PSG. Meanwhile, Nantes, second from bottom, are eyeing the playoff spot, trailing Auxerre by five points. Lens’ dominance over Nantes means the key prediction is for them to win this match.
Lens haven’t had much trouble facing Nantes lately. In the last three meetings they hosted this opponent, Lens won.
Les Sang et Or also claimed a 2-1 win in the reverse meeting but come here off back-to-back draws, most recently conceding late to draw 1-1 with Nice.
Nantes have garnered 23 points in 32 matches.They kept their survival dreams alive with a 3-0 win against Marseille last time out, but their fate is no longer in their hands.
Les Canaris must win their remaining two matches and hope that Auxerre, in the playoff position, loses their two. That way they would get to the playoff position and get another chance to fight for their place in the topflight.
The visitors have lost three of their last five matches against Lens. Away from home in this fixture, Nantes suffered eight defeats in the last 12.
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Lens v Nantes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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1.49 | 4.9 | 6.2 |
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|
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1.43 | 4.9 | 6.65 |
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|
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1.43 | 4.9 | 6.65 |
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|
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1.33 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
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|
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1.43 | 4.8 | 6.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Nantes?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Nantes match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/05/2026 between Lens and Nantes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.04% for a win of Lens against Nantes with odds of 1.49 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Nantes is 18.64% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Lens with odds of 8.5 at Bet365.
Lens - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Nantes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 69.04% | 1.49 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.91% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 29.77% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Lens vs Nantes Form
Lens and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Lens and Nantes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2023 - French Cup
Lens against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderN. Celik
K. Antonio
A. Masuaku
R. Aguilar
M. Soares
F. Sylla
A. Bermont
F. Sotoca
P. Carlgren
DefenderS. Doucoure
A. Yousef
D. Tabibou
B. Guirassy
L. Leroux
R. Cabella
ForwardEl Arabi
M. Mohamed
Missing players
R. Gurtner
DefenderJ. Gradit
S. Abdulhamid
MidfielderA. Thomasson
M. Sangare
ForwardF. Thauvin
A. Saint-Maximin
A. Mirbach
DefenderD. Machado
K. Amian
F. Centonze
T. Tati
MidfielderF. Coquelin
B. Deuff
Most goals and assists
Lens - Nantes Key Points
- Lens secured an away win in the reverse meeting with Nantes.
- Nantes have won once in their last five meetings with Lens.
- Away from home, Nantes lost each of their last three meetings with Lens.
- Lens lost once in 16 home matches in all competitions.
- Nantes are winless in seven away matches.
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Our Lens vs Nantes Prediction
Nantes posted a shock win in their last game as they continue with their push for survival. They will be seeking back-to-back wins for the first time in Ligue 1 this season. However, their away form suggests this will be a big shot.
The visitors come into this game unbeaten in seven outings, yet they face one of the top sides when playing at home. Lens have only lost once in their last 16 matches in all competitions. With such numbers, our prediction for Lens v Nantes is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Nantes
| Lens vs Nantes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.29 | 1.49 | +15.5% |
| Draw | 5.8 | 5.2 | -10.3% |
| Nantes wins | 11 | 8.5 | -22.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 67.1% (-10.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.