Tip Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
The Bundesliga title has been decided but second place is still up for grabs. RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund will tussle on Saturday in a game that should go some way to deciding who is the best runner-up. Dortmund currently hold second place, leading Leipzig, in third, by four points. Leipzig will be looking over their shoulder at Gladbach, who are a further three points behind. A look at the recent clashes between these teams shows that slobber-knocker goal-fests tend to be followed by tight contests. Three of the last six clashes have featured less than 2.5 goals, the other three have featured at least five. Leipzig haven't had too much luck in these games, their one victory from that sequence coming back in 2017. While the game will be played at the Red Bull Arena, home advantage has disappeared since matches started being played behind closed doors. Leipzig have drawn their last four home matches, a frustrating run that predates the hiatus. A silver lining for Leipzig is that they're unbeaten since returning (3-3-0).
A 6-1 battering of Paderborn aside, Dortmund have been unconvincing in recent weeks. Three wins from three after losing 1-0 to Bayern doesn't fully detail their disrupted rhythm. A stoppage-time goal from Erling Haaland clinched three points against Fortuna Dusseldorf. They have become quickly dependent on Haaland (11 goals) as well as Jadon Sancho (17 goals) to score and create - little wonder given their goal records. Leipzig have more dynamism going forward with Dani Olmo finding his feet at the club following a January move. He has supported 25-goal talisman Timo Werner in recent weeks with three goals in his last three games. Back him to score anytime here.
Key points Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
Leipzig have drawn their last four matches at home in the Bundesliga
Leipzig have failed to win five of their last six games against Dortmund
The last meeting between these teams was a 3-3 earlier in the season
Dani Olmo has three goals in his last three Bundesliga games
Conclusion Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
There will be plenty of firepower on the pitch when Leipzig and Dortmund line up against each other on Saturday. It's hard to predict whether this will lead to a load of goals or if the two teams will cancel each other out. We're leaning towards the former but feel it is a better bet to back a likely goalscorer. Olmo is in good form and the price on him is big enough for an anytime bet.
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Leipzig Borussia Dortmund Prediction published on June 17, 2020