Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City have a date with Leeds United as the Premier League enters Matchday 28. The Cityzens will be traveling to Elland Road for this game, starting the round five points behind Arsenal but with a game in hand. Leeds United are thrown right in the midst of a title race, yet their survival isn’t assured. The Peacocks go into this match placed 15th, and below we have a prediction.
City will look to close in on Arsenal in what has turned out to be a two-horse title race in the EPL again. They have banked 56 points so far. Given a choice, Leeds would not have wished to be thrown into the title chasers’ crossfire, as they have problems of their own.
With 31 points, the Whites are only six ahead of the bottom three. They’ve managed just one win in the last five games but are coming here unbeaten in three games.
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Leeds v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 4.3 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.24 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.24 | 1.59 |
|
|
5 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
5 | 4.1 | 1.62 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Leeds and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.08% for a win of Leeds against Manchester City with odds of 5.48 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Manchester City is 29.98% with odds of 4.41 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Leeds with odds of 2.05 at BC Game.
Leeds - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 40.94% | 2.05 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.87% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 18.16% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Manchester City Form
Leeds and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Leeds and Manchester City Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Leeds vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 May 2023 - Premier League
28 Dec 2022 - Premier League
30 Apr 2022 - Premier League
14 Dec 2021 - Premier League
10 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Leeds are faced with a stern test as they seek improvement from three straight draws. In their latest outing, they played to a 1-1 result with Aston Villa, and earlier they had recorded a 2-2 draw with Chelsea. Those two draws were in away games, which will motivate the hosts to now go for the kill.
In the Premier League, Leeds have only lost once in six matches, though that run has just two wins. Leeds’ only defeats in their last nine home league games were inflicted by top three sides – Aston Villa and Arsenal. For the first time in four years, they host City at Elland Road, and Leeds will hope to avoid a heavy loss like the last time they hosted this clash.
City have only lost one of their last 14 PL games when playing the day before Arsenal.
The reverse meeting at the Etihad wasn’t an easy one for Manchester City. They needed a stoppage-time goal to claim the points despite having led 2-0. Now the visitors will hope for a smoother time, as they look to slash Arsenal’s lead.
Going by their recent performances, City will be confident of getting the points on board. They are unbeaten in eight matches, with only one being a draw. In their last five matches, Pep Guardiola’s side posted straight wins. The latest of them was controversial, though, as a Newcastle United goal was disallowed in their 2-1 victory. City have beaten Leeds in each of their last five meetings.
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Leeds against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bijol
S. Bornauw
MidfielderS. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
ForwardJ. Piroe
G. Wilfried
L. Nmecha
D. James
J. Trafford
DefenderA. Khusanov
N. Ake
J. Stones
MidfielderT. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
Savinho
P. Foden
ForwardJ. Doku
Missing players
N. Okafor
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Kovacic
Leeds & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Lukas Nmecha will be well charged for this game, facing his former employers. In the reverse fixture he scored, and he thought he’d won a point for his team. It wasn’t to be, but here he has the chance to add to his seven league goal involvements.
He has five G/A in his last five matches. Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be another player worth watching. The Englishman has 10 goals and an assist in the league, and he will command a starting berth here. The forward has, however, scored just once in the last six matches.
In City’s last EPL visit here in 2022, Haaland scored twice.
Manchester City will unleash on Leeds their Norwegian beast, Erling Haaland, in attack. The forward has four goal contributions in the last five matches. Against Newcastle United, he managed an assist despite being tightly marked.
It says all about his team-player attributes, as he links up well with his mates. A beneficiary of such link-up play was academy star Nico O’Reilly, scorer of the two goals against Newcastle. The forward line could also benefit from the expected return of Jeremy Doku, who has been out with a calf injury.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Manchester City
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Leeds - Manchester City Key Points
- City are unbeaten in eight, winning seven.
- In their last two visits to Elland Road, Man City bagged wins.
- Leeds United’s two home losses in nine were inflicted by the top three sides.
- Manchester City have beaten Leeds United in five straight meetings.
- In five of their last seven matches, Leeds United are winless.
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Our Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction
Leeds United have done well in their recent matches, especially the draws with Aston Villa and Chelsea. The level of difficulty, however, goes a notch higher here. They got a taste of this in the game against Arsenal, and they lost 4-0.
This could be a similar script with City pushing for the title. The visitors have won each of their last five matches against Leeds, and they come into this game unbeaten in eight, with seven wins. Our prediction for Leeds United v Manchester City is that Manchester City wins.
Leeds vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
BTTS
For all their dominance, Manchester City have struggled defensively in their recent matches. Clean sheets are becoming rare in their game, and Leeds will note this. With in-form forwards, the hosts will want to make the most of such weaknesses. Our second prediction, therefore, is for BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Manchester City
| Leeds vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 5.15 | 5.48 | +6.4% |
| Draw | 4.21 | 4.41 | +4.8% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.71 | 2.05 | +19.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.5% and is now 48.8% (-9.7%)
Leeds vs Manchester City - FAQs
The Leeds United v Manchester City match is scheduled for play on Saturday, 28th February.
The Leeds United v Manchester City match will be played at Elland Road.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
