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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Leeds United will look to leverage their home advantage when they host a Bournemouth side brimming with belief amid a bright start to the Premier League season. The Whites are in 12th place in the league standings, while the Cherries are fourth after five league games. Check out our match prediction below!
It has been more than 375 days since the Leeds faithful last saw their side lose a league match at Elland Road. It may be premature to say the home of the Peacocks is a fortress in the top flight, but they have yet to be breached here this season - they have also won each of their seven previous encounters against this opposition at this venue in the Premier League era.
However, Andoni Iraola is building a bold new Bournemouth this term, and under his guidance, they are currently enjoying their joint-best start to a Premier League season (10 points). The odds suggest a close contest is to be expected - let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.35 | 2.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Bournemouth match is: Bournemouth draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Leeds and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.89% for a win of Leeds against Bournemouth with odds of 3 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Bournemouth is 23.93% with odds of 3.57 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Leeds with odds of 2.51 at 22bet.
Leeds vs Bournemouth Form
Leeds and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
12
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Leeds and Bournemouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2025 - Premier League
Leeds vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Leeds - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Leeds United have made a lively return to the Premier League, and with seven points in five league games, they could end this weekend in the top half if they can nick a victory in this match.
The Whites opened daylight between themselves and the bottom three last weekend when they came surging back from a goal down to beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 at Molineux.
The hosts are unbeaten in 22 league home games and can become only the third newly promoted team to shut out opponents in each of their first three home matches of an EPL season this week.
Bournemouth have scored in 16 of their last 17 Premier League away games!
The visitors' last top-flight outing ended in a 1-0 victory over Spurs, and they are now unbeaten in three games following a win over Brighton and a goalless draw against Newcastle last week.
Since their loss to Liverpool on the opening day of this season, the Cherries have only conceded once in their last four league games and restricted the Magpies to a single shot on goal last week.
A victory in this match will see Bournemouth move up to second place in the league standings, with Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal scheduled to play on Saturday night and Sunday, respectively.
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Leeds vs Bournemouth last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bogle
ForwardG. Wilfried
D. James
A. Smith
MidfielderL. Cook
ForwardE. Unal
Leeds & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
While it was a team effort that earned Leeds the win at Molineux last week, two players stood out above the rest: summer signings Anton Stach and former AC Milan man Noah Okafor.
Stach produced a Player of the Match performance, which included a stunning goal from a free kick and setting up Okafor for the winner. Okafor attempted 12 dribbles in the first half alone - more than any player in a single match this season.
Jayden Bogle sustained a knock in the closing stages of the match, but Daniel Farke confirmed he was in training this week and also mentioned Daniel James could feature in some capacity. Wilfried Gnonto and Lucas Perri are ruled out through injury.
Stach, Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin all scored their first goals for Leeds last week!
However, Leeds have still only scored four times this season, and they now have to go up against a Bournemouth defence that has conceded the second-fewest shots in the league (40).
Antoine Semenyo (3 goals, 2 assists) continued to impress despite failing to get on the scoresheet last week, and he is still joint-second in the leading goal scorer standings, only behind Erling Haaland (6).
Lewis Cook, Adam Smith, and Enes Unal are out injured, while Julio Soler is on international duty with the Argentina U-20s.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Bournemouth
N. Okafor
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Stach
(1 Goals)
, 
D. Calvert-Lewin
(1 Goals)
,
J. Bogle
(1 Goals)
,
L. Nmecha
(1 Goals)
A. Semenyo
(3 Goals)
J. Bogle
(1 Assists)
,
A. Stach
(1 Assists)
A. Semenyo
(2 Assists)
Leeds and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League
Leeds - Bournemouth Key Points
- Leeds United have only won one of their last five matches across all competitions.
- Leeds United have failed to score in three of their last four league games.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last four league games.
- Bournemouth have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
- Bournemouth have scored in 16 of their last 17 Premier League away games.
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Our Leeds vs Bournemouth Prediction
Leeds United have laid a good platform to build on this season, and they will enter this fixture with confidence after producing an impressive performance against Wolverhampton Wanderers on the road last weekend.
However, Bournemouth have been in great shape over the opening weeks of their league campaign, and this is the type of fixture they must win if they intend to make a push for those coveted European spots. Our Leeds vs Bournemouth prediction is Bournemouth draw no bet.
Leeds vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Bournemouth have scored in 16 of their last 17 Premier League away games, while Leeds are unbeaten in 22 league home games. Additionally, both teams scored in the last two matches between these sides in the Premier League.
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Leeds vs Bournemouth match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Leeds and Bournemouth will take place on September 27 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Leeds and Bournemouth will be played at Elland Road in Leeds.
The Premier League match between Leeds and Bournemouth will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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