Le Havre vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Le Havre
28/02/2026 15:05
PSG

Prediction :

 

PSG wins and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Le Havre and PSG had contrasting outings last time out in Ligue 1 but will converge this Saturday, both seeking three points. Hosting this match, Le Havre enter the weekend sitting 13th, while PSG are top of the table. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.

Le Havre were handed a shock defeat last time out as they went in search of a third straight win. They fell 2-0 away against Nantes. The loss means Le Havre have now failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Le Club Doyen will definitely have it tough against PSG, who have three straight wins in this fixture.

PSG come here right after securing their place in the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League. The French and European champions returned to the league summit courtesy of a 3-0 win against Metz last time out.

That, though, was also helped on by Lens losing. In midweek, PSG played to a 2-2 draw with Monaco. That was the third straight game in which Les Parisiens scored 2+ goals and the sixth straight PSG game that had over 2.5 goals.

It has been the same in their away matches too, and PSG will look to build on their six wins in the last 10 away games.

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Le Havre v PSG Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
9.6 6.4 1.28
Melbet
10 5.9 1.28
Betwinner
10 5.9 1.28
Bet365
9.5 5.75 1.29
Roobet
9 5.8 1.29
Check all Le Havre vs PSG odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and PSG?

Our prediction for the Le Havre vs PSG match is: PSG wins and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Le Havre and PSG in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.85% for a win of Le Havre against PSG with odds of 10.4 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs PSG is 18.4% with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.75% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Le Havre with odds of 1.32 at 888Starz.

Le Havre - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:

Le Havre PSG Prediction Probability Odds
PSG wins 54.75% 1.32 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 68.28%
Both Team To Score 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG 26.32% 4.2 at LSbet

Le Havre vs PSG Form

Le Havre and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 PSG
76 34 24 4 6 +45
14 Le Havre
35 34 7 14 13 -12

Le Havre and PSG Last Matches

Le Havre
Le Havre Last matches
D D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  0
Le Havre

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Toulouse

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Strasbourg

30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Le Havre

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre
D L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Toulouse

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Strasbourg

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Angers

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Le Havre
0 :  2
Amiens SC

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  0
Le Havre

30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Le Havre

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Le Havre

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre
PSG
PSG Last matches
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  2
Monaco

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Metz

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
PSG

13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  1
PSG

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Marseille

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
PSG
L W D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  2
Monaco

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Metz

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Marseille

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
PSG

13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  1
PSG

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
PSG

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Le Havre vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Le Havre

0 %

Draw

20 %

PSG

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.8
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.8
Goals conceded
80%
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre

16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  4
PSG

27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  3
Le Havre

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  2
PSG
Le Havre vs PSG Prediction

Le Havre against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Le Havre

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

99
M. Diaw
29
S. Zagadou
15
A. Seko
4
G. Lloris
32
T. Pembele
19
L. Gourna-Douath
26
S. Ebonog
18
Y. Zouaoui
14
R. Ndiaye
45
I. Soumare
17
S. Boufal
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
29
B. Barcola
19
L. Kang-in
27
D. Fernandez
17
Vitinha
33
W. Zaire-Emery
21
L. Hernandez
51
W. Pacho
6
I. Zabarnyi
2
A. Hakimi
39
M. Safonov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Substitutes

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

L. Mpasi

Defender

E. Youte Kinkoue

F. Doucoure

T. Pembele 61'

Midfielder

Y. Kechta

S. Zagadou 84'

D. Mosengo

Forward

E. Koffi Vinette

Y. Zouaoui 61'

K. Quetant

S. Boufal 71'

F. Mambimbi

A. Samatta

L. Gourna-Douath 86'

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

R. Marin

Defender

N. Mendes

D. Fernandez 61'

Beraldo

Marquinhos

Forward

D. Doue

L. Kang-in 61'

I. Mbaye

K. Kvaratskhelia 71'

G. Ramos

Missing players

Le Havre
Le Havre
Midfielder

G. Zohouri

PSG
PSG
Midfielder

F. Ruiz

J. Neves

S. Mayulu

Forward

O. Dembele

Q. Ndjantou

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Le Havre
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
Senegal I. Soumare (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France B. Barcola (11 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal I. Soumare (5 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (8 Assists)

Le Havre - PSG Key Points

  1. PSG have nine wins in 10 meetings with Le Havre.
  2. Across their last 10 matches, PSG posted six wins.
  3. Across their last 10 matches, PSG posted six wins.
  4. Three of Le Havre’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
  5. Three or more goals were scored in these teams’ last four meetings.
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Our Le Havre vs PSG Prediction

There is one outstanding stat about this fixture - goals. They are rarely in short supply in this fixture, and this coming game is expected to live up to that billing. The reverse fixture once again belonged to PSG, who won 3-0.

That was the fourth straight time that this match had 3+ goals, and for PSG it was their third straight win over Le Havre. Apart from a 3-3 draw in 2024, PSG have dominated this fixture, winning all the rest in the 10-match run. Therefore, our prediction for Le Havre v PSG is that PSG wins and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

PSG wins and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre PSG

Le Havre vs PSG Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Le Havre wins 11.4 10.4 -8.8%
Draw 5.84 6.4 +9.6%
PSG wins 1.32 1.32 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSG is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 75.8% and is now 75.8% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.