Lazio vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
09/05/2026 12:00
Inter Milan

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The first of back-to-back meetings between Lazio and Inter Milan will be this weekend, a Serie A match staged at Lazio’s Stadio Olimpico. Inter have been crowned champions already, and it means this clash is only key for eighth-placed Lazio. As this fixture has mostly been high scoring, our prediction here will be around the same.

Lazio will not finish in the European football positions, but their next two matches will have a heavy bearing on the same. They are four points adrift of seventh, and a win here enhances their chances of finishing there.

Should they achieve that and lose the final, they will be in Europe. The hosts will be confident of getting three points here, coming off a 2-1 against Cremonese to cap a four-game unbeaten run.

Inter Milan have nothing to play for here other than maintaining their good run against Lazio. The Nerazzurri are unbeaten in eight meetings with Lazio, winning six.

This fixture is also known for its high-scoring nature, and Inter have taken more credit for that, netting 12 in the last four meetings.

With the league race settled and Inter at the summit, the visitors will be looking to rest players well ahead of the Coppa Italia final.

While that might give Lazio a window, Inter will still be keen on securing a league double over their hosts after the 2-0 win in November.

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Lazio v Inter Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.9 3.6 1.98
Melbet
3.9 3.48 1.96
Betwinner
3.86 3.48 1.97
Bet365
4 3.4 1.95
Roobet
3.95 3.4 1.93
Check all Lazio vs Inter Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Inter Milan?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Inter Milan match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Lazio and Inter Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.81% for a win of Lazio against Inter Milan with odds of 4.02 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Inter Milan is 41.41% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Lazio with odds of 2.04 at 888Starz.

Lazio - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Inter Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 41.41% 3.65 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 55.88% 2.06 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 55%
Half-time: Lazio / Full-time: Draw 18.18% 14 at LSbet

Lazio vs Inter Milan Form

Lazio and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1

Lazio and Inter Milan Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
D L W D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  2
Lazio

27 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Udinese

22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  2
Lazio

13 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma
L D W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Udinese

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  2
Lazio

22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  2
Lazio

13 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Lazio

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  2
Inter Milan

21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Como 1907

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  4
Inter Milan

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma

21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Como 1907

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa
W D L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  2
Inter Milan

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  4
Inter Milan

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
0 :  0
Inter Milan

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Lazio vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

0 %

Draw

33 %

Inter Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Lazio

25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

16 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  6
Inter Milan

19 May 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Lazio

19 Jan 2024 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Lazio

Lazio against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

40
E. Motta
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
13
A. Romagnoli
3
L. Pellegrini
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
6
N. Rovella
26
T. Basic
22
M. Cancellieri
9
Pedro
14
T. Noslin
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
30
C. Augusto
8
P. Sucic
23
N. Barella
22
H. Mkhitaryan
17
A. Diouf
95
A. Bastoni
15
F. Acerbi
31
Y. Bisseck
13
J. Martinez

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

G. Giacomone

Defender

N. Tavares

O. Provstgaard

M. Gila 56'

S. Gigot

E. Hysaj

Patric

N. Rovella 56'

Midfielder

K. Taylor

R. Belahyane

A. Przyborek

M. Lazzari

A. Marusic 78'

Forward

B. Dia

Pedro 62'

G. Isaksen

M. Cancellieri 57'

D. Maldini

P. Ratkov

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Y. Sommer

Defender

M. Cocchi

D. Dumfries

L. Martinez 63'

M. Darmian

F. Dimarco

S. De Vrij

M. Akanji

Midfielder

D. Frattesi

N. Barella 45'

P. Zielinski

Forward

M. Mosconi

P. Sucic 80'

Luis Henrique

A. Bastoni 63'

A. Bonny

M. Thuram 45'

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

Midfielder

D. Cataldi

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Midfielder

H. Calhanoglu

Forward

F. Esposito

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals)
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)

Lazio - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. Inter’s last five matches had 21 goals scored.
  2. On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Lazio’s last five matches.
  3. The last five meetings between these two sides produced 16 goals.
  4. Inter Milan scored three on average in these teams’ last four meetings.
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Our Lazio vs Inter Milan Prediction

Lazio are still healing from the wounds of last season’s 6-0 smashing by Inter Milan here. While this is a match they’ve been dominated in, the hosts will want to get a measure of revenge. Most importantly, though, they will look to pass a statement ahead of the cup final.

Inter are expected to field a weaker team, and that should work well for Lazio. What stands out in the run-up to this encounter is the high-scoring feel of this game, and we will back the same here. Our prediction for Lazio v Inter Milan is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Inter Milan

Lazio vs Inter Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lazio wins 4.55 4.02 -11.6%
Draw 3.87 3.65 -5.7%
Inter Milan wins 1.86 2.04 +9.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 25.8% and is now 27.4% (1.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Inter Milan Prediction