Tip Lazio - Bayern Munich
A fine run of form in recent matches saw Lazio rise to the top four in Serie A and they’ll be hoping for the same when they host Bayern Munich in the Champions League. Lazio’s only blemish in their last four matches was the 3-1 loss to Internazionale. They have three wins in the last four matches and will be confident as they prepare to face Bayern. However, they’ll head here with questions on their defence, having scored eight in the last five but conceded seven goals. Lazio have managed two clean sheets in their last five matches. The hosts will bank heavily on their home form too, having registered seven straight wins there ahead of this game. This season marked their return to the Champions League since 2015 and Lazio have done well to get to this stage, after two wins and four draws in the group stage. While they remain unbeaten in the competition, Lazio managed no clean sheet in the six group stage matches. At home, they scored eight goals in the three games but conceded four.
Bayern, just like Lazio are struggling in defence and have very few clean sheets to show in their recent matches. They also seem jaded after their Club World Cup exploits and the last two matches heavily suggest so. After winning the Club World Cup, Bayern returned to domestic action in a 3-3 draw with Arminia Bielefeld. In their most recent match, they lost 2-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt and will miss defender Benjamin Pavard in the Lazio trip as he has tested positive for Covid-19. Thomas Muller could also miss, while Corentin Tolisso is out on a longe term injury. They’ve been underwhelming in recent matches but have four wins in the last five away matches, with four clean sheets, as they go to this game. Robert Lewandowski has four goals in the last five matches and will once again be relied upon for goals here. Bayern will be hoping their recent struggles do not spill over to Europe – they haven’t lost a Champions League game in the last 17 outings. The Bavarians have done even better away from home, with a 19-match unbeaten run in the competition.
Key points Lazio - Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich have conceded five goals in the last two matches.
Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 19 away Champions League matches.
Lazio have seven straight wins at home.
Lazio have no clean sheet in the Champions League this season.
Bayern are winless since returning from the Club World Cup.
Conclusion Lazio - Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich have suffered a dip in form and head out to hunt at a tough venue. They have been poor defensively for a better part of the season but the last two matches have highlighted it more. Lazio have also not been great in defence but they head to this game on a good run, and especially at home. Bayern may have done well in recent Champions League games but in their recent form, all that could crumble here. Go for a Lazio win.
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Lazio Bayern Munich Prediction published on February 22, 2021