KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
20/08/2026 13:00
FC Thun

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Europa League Predictions

Two sides that dropped from the Champions League, Lech Poznan and Thun, will be facing off in the Europa League playoff. At the end of a two-legged tie, one of these sides will proceed to the league phase as the other drops to the Conference League. For the first leg, hosted by Lech Poznan, our prediction is a high-scoring fixture.

Lech Poznan were eliminated from the Champions League in shocking fashion despite having taken a 4-1 away lead at Aarhus. They took lessons from that and have been rampant in the four matches that followed, both domestically and in the Europa League.

In the last round they thrashed Klaksvik 6-0 on aggregate. The 5-0 return leg win was Lech’s fourth straight victory.

Thun haven’t had a consistent run so far, as they juggle domestic and continental demands. Ahead of this encounter, they thrashed Saxon-Sports 6-0 in the cup competition.

That was some recovery after two straight defeats, from which they conceded seven goals. Thun had also earlier fallen 6-0 to Young Boys in the Swiss league.

To book this slot, Thun outclassed Vikingur Reykjavik 5-3 on aggregate. That had followed their 4-3 loss in the UCL at the hands of Croatian giants Dinamo Zagreb.

Apart from a porous backline, Thun have a poor away record to deal with. They are on seven defeats and two wins in the last 10 games on the road.

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KKS Lech Poznan v FC Thun Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.63 4.3 5.2
1xbet
1.61 4.42 5.41
Melbet
1.58 4.32 5.25
Betwinner
1.58 4.32 5.25
22bet
1.58 4.32 5.25
Check all KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between KKS Lech Poznan and FC Thun?

Our prediction for the KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2026 between KKS Lech Poznan and FC Thun in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.28% for a win of KKS Lech Poznan against FC Thun with odds of 1.63 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun is 18.14% with odds of 4.42 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.59% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Thun vs KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 5.41 at 1xbet.

KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Form

KKS Lech Poznan and FC Thun Last Matches

KKS Lech Poznan
KKS Lech Poznan Last matches
D L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Europa League

KI Klaksvik
0 :  5
KKS Lech Poznan

9 Aug 2026 - Ekstraklasa

KKS Lech Poznan
3 :  0
GKS Piast Gliwice

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  0
KI Klaksvik

1 Aug 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Krakow
1 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  4
AGF Aarhus

25 Jul 2026 - Ekstraklasa

KKS Lech Poznan
0 :  0
KS Cracovia Krakow
D W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Ekstraklasa

KKS Lech Poznan
3 :  0
GKS Piast Gliwice

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  0
KI Klaksvik

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  4
AGF Aarhus

25 Jul 2026 - Ekstraklasa

KKS Lech Poznan
0 :  0
KS Cracovia Krakow

16 Jul 2026 - Super Cup

KKS Lech Poznan
3 :  1
Gornik Zabrze

23 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa

KKS Lech Poznan
2 :  2
Wisla Plock
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Europa League

KI Klaksvik
0 :  5
KKS Lech Poznan

1 Aug 2026 - Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Krakow
1 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

AGF Aarhus
1 :  4
KKS Lech Poznan

16 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa

RKS Radomiak Radom
1 :  3
KKS Lech Poznan

2 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa

LKP Motor Lublin
0 :  1
KKS Lech Poznan

18 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Pogon Szczecin
1 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan
FC Thun
FC Thun Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Schweizer Cup

FC Saxon Sports
0 :  6
FC Thun

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Vikingur Reykjavik
3 :  2
FC Thun

9 Aug 2026 - Super League

FC Basel 1893
4 :  2
FC Thun

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

FC Thun
3 :  0
Vikingur Reykjavik

1 Aug 2026 - Super League

FC Thun
0 :  6
BSC Young Boys

28 Jul 2026 - Champions League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
3 :  2
FC Thun
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

FC Thun
3 :  0
Vikingur Reykjavik

1 Aug 2026 - Super League

FC Thun
0 :  6
BSC Young Boys

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

FC Thun
1 :  1
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

14 May 2026 - Super League

FC Thun
3 :  8
BSC Young Boys

25 Apr 2026 - Super League

FC Thun
0 :  1
FC Lugano

18 Apr 2026 - Super League

FC Thun
3 :  1
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Schweizer Cup

FC Saxon Sports
0 :  6
FC Thun

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Vikingur Reykjavik
3 :  2
FC Thun

9 Aug 2026 - Super League

FC Basel 1893
4 :  2
FC Thun

28 Jul 2026 - Champions League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
3 :  2
FC Thun

25 Jul 2026 - Super League

FC Luzern
1 :  3
FC Thun

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

SV Waldhof Mannheim 07
2 :  1
FC Thun
KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Prediction

KKS Lech Poznan and FC Thun Stats in Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
KKS Lech Poznan
FC Thun
FC Thun
100%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
0%
3
Average goals per match
4
3
Goals scored per match
2.5
0
Goals conceded per match
1.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
100%
No goals conceded
50%
0%
BTTS
50%

KKS Lech Poznan - FC Thun Key Points

  1. Lech Poznan scored 11 times in their last four games.
  2. Lech Poznan’s last four matches in Europe produced 16 goals.
  3. Thun have scored 13 times in their last four outings.
  4. On average, Thun’s matches in Europe had 3.75 goals.
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Our KKS Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Prediction

Swiss champions Thun are having a mixed campaign as they clearly struggle to cope with the domestic and European demands. It has so far been a tough balancing act, and while there are questions about their defending, they’ve also come up with the numbers in attack.

Here they’ll meet an equally strong attacking Lech Poznan. Each side has scored at least 10 goals in the last four outings. Our prediction for Lech Poznan v Thun is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.