Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
It didn't take 14th seed Learner TIen much to have his best run in the US Open. Before this year. he had suffered four first round exits in New York. This year sees him in round four and he takes on unseeded Karen Khachanov who is ranked 35 places below him. Our prediction here is a win for Tien.
The winner will be up against either 24th seed Francisco Cerundolo or 28th-seed Alexander Blockx.
Learner Tien was a recent semi-finalist on this surface in the Canadian Open. Three other ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournaments this year have seen him get to at least the last eight with one other semi-final reached. This is his first match against his opponent.
Karen Khachanov made it to the last here in 2022. That's the only other time that the Russian has progressed past the third round until this year.
Khachanov is 38th in the ATP Live Race and that's 20 places below his opponent. He had lost his last four matches before this tournament got underway, three of them on outdoor hard courts. Khachanov has shown better form in New York with only one set lost.
That was in round two when he beat third seed Felix Auger-Aliassime.
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Karen Khachanov v Learner Tien Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 1.54 |
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2.47 | 1.57 |
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2.44 | 1.56 |
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2.44 | 1.56 |
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2.44 | 1.56 |
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Who will win the Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien match is: Learner Tien wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien game on 07/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Karen Khachanov has a 36.77% chance to win against Learner Tien according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.47.
- Learner Tien has a 63.23% probability of winning facing Karen Khachanov ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Betway.
Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karen Khachanov has a 36.77 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | 36.77 % |
| Learner Tien | 63.23 % |
Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Form
Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
29 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
12 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien Key Points
- Tien was 35 places above his opponent in the last rankings.
- Khachanov had lost his last four matches before this tournament.
- Tien is 20 places above Khachanov in the ATP Live Race.
- Tien has reached two ATP Tour semi-finals this year and two other quarter-finals.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Prediction
This could be a close match if Karen Khachanov can continue the form he has shown so far in this tournament. He has had problems with consistency this year and had lost four matches in a row before finding some improved form in New York.
Learner Tien is in the top 20 in both the overall rankings and the ATP Live Race. He is far more consistent than his opponent and is attempting to reach a fifth ATP Tour outdoor hard court quarter-final of 2026. Our Karen Khachanov v Learner Tien prediction is Learner Tien wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.