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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz is on the hunt for a second Masters title in 2025. At the Rome Masters, he will be playing for a quarter-final berth against Karen Khachanov. Read on for our prediction of the fifth match between the two.
Alcaraz has reached the fourth round here for the first time and will seek to go deeper. After winning the Monte Carlo title, Rome remains the only Masters event he hasn’t graced the quarter-final in.
The Spaniard skipped the Madrid Masters and came here well-rested and as a favorite. He claimed straight-set wins over Dusan Lajovic and Laslo Djere in his opening two matches. Alcaraz has now compiled a 26-5 record.
Khachanov lasted three rounds at Madrid and will hope to progress further in Rome. The Russian has never gone past the fourth round in Rome. He lost this stage last season and has only once this season gone past the fourth round.
That was in the ATP 500 Barcelona, where he got to the semis. Having seen his earlier Masters events end in the third round at Indian Wells, Miami, and Monte Carlo, he will hope this break carries a better signal.
Khachanov lost all four previous matches against Alcaraz, three being on clay. With four losses in his last 10 matches, Khachanov will still be the underdog here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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7 | 1.1 |
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8 | 1.08 |
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7.5 | 1.09 |
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6.75 | 1.12 |
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6.7 | 1.08 |
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Who will win the Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 13/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Karen Khachanov has a 21% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 8.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 79% probability of winning facing Karen Khachanov ⭐ with odds of 1.12 at Unibet.
Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karen Khachanov has a 21 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Karen Khachanov | 21 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 79 % |
Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
30 Sep 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
3 May 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 May 2022 - ATP French Open
Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz posted 12 wins in his last 15 outings.
- In his last 10 games, Khachanov suffered four defeats.
- Alcaraz won six of his last seven matches in straight sets.
- Alcaraz beat Khachanov in all their previous four meetings.
- Khachanov’s four losses to Alcaraz were all in straight sets.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Neither of these two has ever reached the quarter-finals at the Rome Masters. Going by their season’s performances, Karen Khachanov’s ambitions are in real jeopardy. He has never beaten or won a set against Alcaraz.
This match also comes in the wake of a weaker run in the season compared to the Spaniard. Alcaraz will be a firm favorite to advance here, as he has had a strong run, especially on clay, where he has only lost once this season. Our prediction for Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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