Japan vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League

World - Nations League

Japan
01/08/2026 07:30
USA

Prediction :

 

Over 180.5 points

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions

The second semi-final of the 2026 Volleyball Nations League will see Japan taking on the USA on Saturday afternoon. These two played to a deciding set earlier in this competition, which sees us leaning toward the total points market for our prediction in this one. 

Japan finished as runners-up in the 2025 VNL, and they have followed up incredibly this year, as they are the only nation not to have tasted a single defeat en route to the semi-finals. 

Ryujin Nippon made light work of China in the quarters with a 3-1 victory. They have only dropped 15 sets in 13 matches in this competition - the joint-fewest alongside Poland. 

Ran Takahashi leads the team with 229 points, which is the fifth-most by any player in the 2026 VNL. Yuki Ishikawa has 159 points in his 13 games with a 53.07% attacking efficiency. 

Meanwhile, after securing their place in the final round early, the USA were able to rest players in their final two games in Week 3, which they ended up losing to Poland and Bulgaria. 

However, after returning to full strength in the quarter-final, they secured an against-the-odds straight-sets victory over Italy to send a clear message to the other three semi-finalists. 

Jake Hanes has been the USA’s chief contributor in this competition with 178 points, including an impressive 20 points off his service, followed by Matthew Anderson with 153 points. 

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Japan v USA Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
2.26 1.7
Melbet
2.21 1.66
Betwinner
2.21 1.66
Roobet
2.22 1.6
BC Game
2.26 1.61

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Japan vs USA Form

Japan and USA Last Matches

Japan
Japan Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

29 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  1
China

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
Argentina

17 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
Belgium

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Canada

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

France
2 :  3
Japan
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

29 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  1
China

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
Argentina

17 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
Belgium

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Canada

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

12 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Poland
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

France
2 :  3
Japan

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Iran
2 :  3
Japan

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
Japan

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Japan

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

China
1 :  3
Japan
USA
USA Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

30 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Italy
0 :  3
USA

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Poland

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
1 :  3
Bulgaria

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Brazil

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
China

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
USA
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Poland

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
1 :  3
Bulgaria

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Brazil

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
China

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Italy
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

30 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Italy
0 :  3
USA

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
USA

25 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Iran
0 :  3
USA

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Cuba
0 :  3
USA

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Canada
2 :  3
USA

12 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Germany
0 :  3
USA

Japan vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Japan

50 %

USA

50 %

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

20 Jul 2025 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Japan

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
1 :  3
USA

23 Jun 2024 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
USA

8 Oct 2023 - FIVB World Cup

Japan
2 :  3
USA

10 Jun 2022 - Nations League

Japan
2 :  3
USA
Japan vs USA Prediction

Japan - USA Key Points

  1. Eight of Japan’s last 10 matches have ended with over 180.5 points.
  2. Japan have only won two of their last 12 matches in straight sets.
  3. Four of the USA’s last seven matches have ended with over 180.5 points.
  4. These two teams' previous match in this competition went to a deciding set.
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Our Japan vs USA Prediction

Japan have been the benchmark in the Nations League this year, as they are the only team to have reached the semi-final of the competition while maintaining a perfect record of 13 wins from 13. 

However, barring their final two group-stage matches, the USA have also been very impressive and underlined their credentials as title contenders with their 3-0 thumping of Italy. We do not see a clear favourite here, and feel that this match could go down to the wire. Our Japan vs USA prediction is over 180.5 points. 

Prediction :

 

Over 180.5 points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.