Japan vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions
The second semi-final of the 2026 Volleyball Nations League will see Japan taking on the USA on Saturday afternoon. These two played to a deciding set earlier in this competition, which sees us leaning toward the total points market for our prediction in this one.
Japan finished as runners-up in the 2025 VNL, and they have followed up incredibly this year, as they are the only nation not to have tasted a single defeat en route to the semi-finals.
Ryujin Nippon made light work of China in the quarters with a 3-1 victory. They have only dropped 15 sets in 13 matches in this competition - the joint-fewest alongside Poland.
Ran Takahashi leads the team with 229 points, which is the fifth-most by any player in the 2026 VNL. Yuki Ishikawa has 159 points in his 13 games with a 53.07% attacking efficiency.
Meanwhile, after securing their place in the final round early, the USA were able to rest players in their final two games in Week 3, which they ended up losing to Poland and Bulgaria.
However, after returning to full strength in the quarter-final, they secured an against-the-odds straight-sets victory over Italy to send a clear message to the other three semi-finalists.
Jake Hanes has been the USA’s chief contributor in this competition with 178 points, including an impressive 20 points off his service, followed by Matthew Anderson with 153 points.
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Japan v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.26 | 1.7 |
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2.21 | 1.66 |
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2.21 | 1.66 |
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2.22 | 1.6 |
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2.26 | 1.61 |
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Japan vs USA Form
Japan and USA Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
29 Jul 2026 - Nations League
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
17 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
29 Jul 2026 - Nations League
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
17 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
12 Jun 2026 - Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - Nations League
26 Jun 2026 - Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 Jul 2026 - Nations League
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
30 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
12 Jun 2026 - Nations League
Japan vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
27 Jun 2026 - Nations League
20 Jul 2025 - Nations League
2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
23 Jun 2024 - Nations League
8 Oct 2023 - FIVB World Cup
10 Jun 2022 - Nations League
Japan - USA Key Points
- Eight of Japan’s last 10 matches have ended with over 180.5 points.
- Japan have only won two of their last 12 matches in straight sets.
- Four of the USA’s last seven matches have ended with over 180.5 points.
- These two teams' previous match in this competition went to a deciding set.
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Our Japan vs USA Prediction
Japan have been the benchmark in the Nations League this year, as they are the only team to have reached the semi-final of the competition while maintaining a perfect record of 13 wins from 13.
However, barring their final two group-stage matches, the USA have also been very impressive and underlined their credentials as title contenders with their 3-0 thumping of Italy. We do not see a clear favourite here, and feel that this match could go down to the wire. Our Japan vs USA prediction is over 180.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.