Japan vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League

World - Nations League

Japan
15/07/2026 06:20
Italy

Prediction :

 

Over 178.5 points

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions

One of the standout fixtures in Week 3 of the 2026 FIVB Nations League Volleyball will see Japan taking on Italy on Wednesday morning. While Ryujin Nippon are unbeaten, they have dropped two sets in each of their last three matches, which sees us leaning toward the points market here for our main prediction. 

Japan have been the best team at the 2026 Nations League across the first two weeks, as they are the only nation with a perfect record of eight wins in eight matches coming into Week 3. 

While there have been several key contributors for Ryujin Nippon in this competition, Ran Takashi has been the standout performer, currently third in the leading scorer standings with 159 points. 

Japan are riding a nine-match win streak across all competitions, but this is a stern test for them, as they have lost four of their last five matches against this opponent. 

Meanwhile, Italy enter Week 3 of the VNL with momentum after racking up three wins in their final three games of the second week. They are now sixth in the standings with five wins in eight games. 

Mattia Bottolo is the only player from Gli Azzurri to surpass 100 points in this competition (109). Luca Porro and Allesandro Bovolenta follow Bottolo with 79 and 77 points, respectively. 

Italy have won seven of their last 10 matches in all competitions, which includes a 3-1 victory over Argentina in an international friendly last week.

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Japan v Italy Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
2.28 1.69
Melbet
2.17 1.69
Betwinner
2.23 1.66
Roobet
2.12 1.66
BC Game
2.14 1.68

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Japan vs Italy Form

Japan and Italy's standings in the Nations League

Teams Pts P W L GD
1 Japan
30 12 12 0 +21
4 Italy
26 12 8 4 +12

Japan and Italy Last Matches

Japan
Japan Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

France
2 :  3
Japan

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Iran
2 :  3
Japan

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
Japan

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Japan

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

China
1 :  3
Japan
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Poland

17 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Japan
3 :  0
Libya

15 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Japan
0 :  3
Canada

13 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Japan
0 :  3
Turkiye

31 Jul 2025 - Nations League

Japan
0 :  3
Poland

13 Jun 2025 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  0
Serbia
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

France
2 :  3
Japan

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Iran
2 :  3
Japan

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
Japan

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Japan

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

China
1 :  3
Japan
Italy
Italy Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Italy

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Brazil
1 :  3
Italy

25 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Ukraine
3 :  0
Italy

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Bulgaria
3 :  2
Italy

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Italy

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  3
Italy
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Belgium

18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Ukraine

16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
2 :  3
Belgium

14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Algeria

2 Aug 2025 - Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Slovenia

30 Jul 2025 - Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Cuba
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Italy

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Brazil
1 :  3
Italy

25 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Ukraine
3 :  0
Italy

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Bulgaria
3 :  2
Italy

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Italy

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  3
Italy

Japan vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Japan

50 %

Italy

50 %

5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Italy
3 :  2
Japan

25 May 2024 - Nations League

Japan
1 :  3
Italy

23 Jul 2023 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

8 Jul 2023 - Nations League

Japan
1 :  3
Italy

24 Jun 2022 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

1 Oct 2019 - FIVB World Cup

Japan
3 :  0
Italy
Japan vs Italy Prediction

Japan - Italy Key Points

  1. Japan has dropped two sets in each of their last three games.
  2. Japan has not won any of their last seven matches in this competition in straight sets.
  3. Italy has not won any of their last six matches in this competition in straight sets.
  4. Each of the last eight matches between these sides have gone beyond three sets.
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Our Japan vs Italy Prediction

Japan has been the most impressive team at the 2026 VNL, as they are the only nation yet to taste defeat in the competition, and they could be a solid option at good odds to come out on top in this match. 

However, Ryujin Nippon have struggled to get the better of Italy in recent times, with Gli Azzurri winning four of the last five encounters. Straight-set wins have been rare for both these teams in this competition, and it would not surprise us if this one went down to a decider. Our Japan vs Italy prediction is over 178.5 points. 

Prediction :

 

Over 178.5 points

 
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