Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
After four first round exits in the US Open, Learner TIen is now just one win away from the last 16. The 14th seed takes on 17th-seeded Jakub Mensik in this outdoor hard court tournament. Tien was a recent semi-finalist in Montreal and our prediction is he can win this match.
Round four will see the winner take on unseeded opposition, either Karen Khachanov or Benjamin Bonzi.
Tien made his debut in this outdoor hard court Grand Slam in 2022 when just 16 years old. Four first round exits have been made, but that's all changed this year. He has had wins over unseeded Nuno Borges and wild card Gael Monfils without dropping a set.
Earlier this year, he was a quarter-finalist in the outdoor hard court Australian Open.
There's been one previous meeting between these players. Tien won that in the ATP Next Gen Finals in 2024.
Jakub Mensik was 18th in the latest rankings, three places below his opponent. This run in New York has equalled his best performance in New York. He's only once made it past this stage of a Grand Slam doing so in Australia earlier this year.
He has had wins over Shintaro Mochizuki and qualifier Jurij Rodionov so far, dropping a set in the latter.
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Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.08 | 1.67 |
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2.15 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.13 | 1.72 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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Who will win the Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien match is: Learner Tien wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien game on 05/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Jakub Mensik has a 39.72% chance to win against Learner Tien according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.18.
- Learner Tien has a 60.28% probability of winning facing Jakub Mensik ⭐ with odds of 1.75 at Betway.
Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jakub Mensik has a 39.72 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | 39.72 % |
| Learner Tien | 60.28 % |
Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Form
Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
12 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
18 Dec 2024 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien Key Points
- Tien won the only previous match between these two players.
- Tien has reached this stage without dropping a set.
- A qualifier took a set off Mensik in the last round.
- Tien was a semi-finalist in the recent Canadian Open.
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Prediction
Two 20-year-old seeds meet in the last 32 of the US Open. Neither has made it past this stage before and a close match of either four or five sets is a distinct possibility. Learner Tien is three places higher in the rankings than Mensik. He has reached this third round without dropping a set.
Jakub Mensik made a strong start to the year but has never beaten Tien. He has won two matches this week, though the second round saw qualifier Jurij Rodionov take a set off him. Our Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien prediction is Learner Tien wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.