Italy vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions
The penultimate quarter-final of the 2026 Volleyball Nations League brings us a blockbuster between Italy and the USA on Thursday morning. Gli Azzurri have won their last three VNL matches against this opponent, and we fancy them to extend that record here, as discussed in our match prediction.
Italy ended Week 3 of the Nations League with three wins on the bounce over Belgium, Argentina and Cuba, finishing fourth in the standings with eight wins and four defeats in their 12 games.
Mattia Bottolo has been the chief contributor for Gli Azzurri in this competition with 155 points. Young Pardo Mati has been impressive as well, racking up 17 block points with a 22.08% success rate.
Italy have won 16 of their last 20 matches across all competitions. They beat their upcoming opponents 3-2 midway through last month in this tournament.
Meanwhile, the USA clinched their spot in the final round with games to spare. They opted to rotate their players in the final week and lost their last two games against Bulgaria and Poland.
Jake Hanes leads the team with 157 points and an attacking efficiency of 54.24%. Merrick McHenry has been the defensive leader of the team with 19 blocks, averaging 1.73 per game.
Team USA have won 14 of their last 20 matches across all competitions. However, they have only won one of their last four encounters against this opponent.
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Italy v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.68 | 2.29 |
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1.65 | 2.25 |
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|
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1.66 | 2.21 |
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1.55 | 2.32 |
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|
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1.56 | 2.36 |
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Italy vs USA Form
Italy and USA Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
26 Jun 2026 - Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Nations League
30 Jul 2025 - Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
26 Jun 2026 - Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - Nations League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Jul 2026 - Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - Nations League
16 Jul 2026 - Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Jun 2026 - Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
12 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
Italy vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
29 Jun 2025 - Nations League
9 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
6 Jun 2024 - Nations League
22 Jul 2023 - Nations League
8 Jun 2023 - Nations League
Italy - USA Key Points
- Italy are four places above the USA in the world rankings.
- Italy are on a three-match win streak.
- Italy have won 16 of their last 20 matches in all competitions.
- Italy have won three of their last four matches against this opponent.
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Our Italy vs USA Prediction
Team USA were mightily impressive across the first two weeks of the 2026 VNL, which allowed them to rest several of their key players in the second half of Week 3 of the competition.
However, Italy ended the group stage with three commanding victories, which would have helped them build momentum coming into the knockouts. This should be a thrilling contest that is likely to go deep, but we fancy Italy to edge the result. Our Italy vs USA prediction is Italy wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.