Italy vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League

World - Nations League

Italy
30/07/2026 03:00
USA

Prediction :

 

Italy wins

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions

The penultimate quarter-final of the 2026 Volleyball Nations League brings us a blockbuster between Italy and the USA on Thursday morning. Gli Azzurri have won their last three VNL matches against this opponent, and we fancy them to extend that record here, as discussed in our match prediction. 

Italy ended Week 3 of the Nations League with three wins on the bounce over Belgium, Argentina and Cuba, finishing fourth in the standings with eight wins and four defeats in their 12 games. 

Mattia Bottolo has been the chief contributor for Gli Azzurri in this competition with 155 points. Young Pardo Mati has been impressive as well, racking up 17 block points with a 22.08% success rate. 

Italy have won 16 of their last 20 matches across all competitions. They beat their upcoming opponents 3-2 midway through last month in this tournament. 

Meanwhile, the USA clinched their spot in the final round with games to spare. They opted to rotate their players in the final week and lost their last two games against Bulgaria and Poland. 

Jake Hanes leads the team with 157 points and an attacking efficiency of 54.24%. Merrick McHenry has been the defensive leader of the team with 19 blocks, averaging 1.73 per game.

Team USA have won 14 of their last 20 matches across all competitions. However, they have only won one of their last four encounters against this opponent. 

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Italy v USA Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.68 2.29
Melbet
1.65 2.25
Betwinner
1.66 2.21
Roobet
1.55 2.32
BC Game
1.56 2.36

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Italy vs USA Form

Italy and USA Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Cuba
1 :  3
Italy

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Argentina
0 :  3
Italy

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Belgium
0 :  3
Italy

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Italy

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Brazil
1 :  3
Italy
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Belgium

18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Ukraine

16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
2 :  3
Belgium

14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship

Italy
3 :  0
Algeria

2 Aug 2025 - Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Slovenia

30 Jul 2025 - Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Cuba
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Cuba
1 :  3
Italy

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Argentina
0 :  3
Italy

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Belgium
0 :  3
Italy

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

Japan
3 :  2
Italy

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  3
Italy

26 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Brazil
1 :  3
Italy
USA
USA Last matches
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Poland

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
1 :  3
Bulgaria

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Brazil

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
China

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
USA

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

19 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Poland

18 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
1 :  3
Bulgaria

16 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Brazil

15 Jul 2026 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
China

27 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Japan

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Italy
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Serbia
1 :  3
USA

25 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Iran
0 :  3
USA

24 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Cuba
0 :  3
USA

13 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Canada
2 :  3
USA

12 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Germany
0 :  3
USA

10 Jun 2026 - Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  3
USA

Italy vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

50 %

USA

50 %

14 Jun 2026 - Nations League

USA
2 :  3
Italy

29 Jun 2025 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Italy

9 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Italy
0 :  3
USA

6 Jun 2024 - Nations League

USA
0 :  3
Italy

22 Jul 2023 - Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Italy

8 Jun 2023 - Nations League

Italy
0 :  3
USA
Italy vs USA Prediction

Italy - USA Key Points

  1. Italy are four places above the USA in the world rankings.
  2. Italy are on a three-match win streak.
  3. Italy have won 16 of their last 20 matches in all competitions.
  4. Italy have won three of their last four matches against this opponent.
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Our Italy vs USA Prediction

Team USA were mightily impressive across the first two weeks of the 2026 VNL, which allowed them to rest several of their key players in the second half of Week 3 of the competition. 

However, Italy ended the group stage with three commanding victories, which would have helped them build momentum coming into the knockouts. This should be a thrilling contest that is likely to go deep, but we fancy Italy to edge the result. Our Italy vs USA prediction is Italy wins.

Prediction :

 

Italy wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.