Inter Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Inter Milan are a win away from winning the Serie A title, and it is likely they will do it at home against Parma. The two will square off on Sunday, with 12th-placed Parma without much to play for. Read on to find our prediction.
Inter Milan’s title celebrations were slowed down in their last outing as they played out a 2-2 draw at Torino. Despite the setback, they opened up a 10-point lead against soon-to-be-deposed champions Napoli.
Inter have the perfect opportunity to finish the job at home, as they only need three more points to set up an unassailable lead. The Nerazzurri have won 13 of their 17 home league matches and are unbeaten in nine matches against Parma, winning five.
Parma are coming from two straight wins that secured their place in the top flight, capping a season that started so slow. Their 1-0 win over Pisa last time out marked the fourth straight unbeaten outing and a second clean sheet on the bounce.
The visitors will be under no pressure coming into this encounter, 14 points clear of the relegation zone. They suffered a 2-0 loss at home in the reverse fixture and have failed to beat Inter in any of the last nine meetings since a 1-0 win in 2018.
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Inter Milan v Parma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 6.8 | 12 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.65 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.7 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.6 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Parma?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Parma match is: Inter to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Inter Milan and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.18% for a win of Inter Milan against Parma with odds of 1.25 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Parma is 24.83% with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Inter Milan with odds of 13.9 at 888Starz.
Inter Milan - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 52.18% | 1.25 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.08% | 2.5 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 24.44% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Inter Milan vs Parma Form
Inter Milan and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
87 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Inter Milan and Parma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Inter Milan vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Jan 2023 - Coppa Italia
4 Mar 2021 - Serie A
31 Oct 2020 - Serie A
Inter Milan against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
J. Martinez
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderM. Darmian
S. De Vrij
F. Acerbi
M. Cocchi
C. Augusto
D. Frattesi
A. Diouf
H. Mkhitaryan
H. Calhanoglu
ForwardM. Mosconi
Luis Henrique
L. Martinez
A. Bonny
F. Rinaldi
E. Corvi
DefenderL. Valenti
F. Carboni
S. Britschgi
MidfielderN. Estevez
J. Ondrejka
G. Oristanio
O. Sorensen
C. Ordonez
P. Almqvist
N. Elphege
Missing players
G. Casentini
MidfielderB. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Parma
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(17 Assists)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
Inter Milan - Parma Key Points
- Six of these teams’ last seven meetings had over 2.5 goal.
- Inter are unbeaten in nine matches against Parma, winning five.
- Parma are winless in three of their last four matches.
- Parma failed to win 11 of their last 17 away league matches.
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Our Inter Milan vs Parma Prediction
Inter Milan have the perfect stage to lift the league title after fumbling a 2-0 lead last time in Torino. They face a Parma side they’ve dominated, and coupled with their home form, we don’t see their title celebrations getting postponed again.
Parma have already achieved all they can in the season, and this trip looks like a dead rubber affair for the visitors. They lost in the reverse meetings, and we are backing the same here. Our prediction for Inter Milan v Parma is for Inter to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Parma
| Inter Milan vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 1.3 | 1.25 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 6.51 | 7 | +7.5% |
| Parma wins | 11 | 13.9 | +26.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 80.0% (3.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
