Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP 34 Peru
Ignacio Buse
23/05/2026 08:40
ATP 25 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction :

 

Ignacio Buse wins a set

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Sixth seed Tommy Paul takes on Peruvian qualifier Ignacio Buse  in the final of the Hamburg Open. Buse has won six matches so far in this tournament and only lost a single set. Our prediction is that he can at least win one set against Paul. 

Ignacio Buse is playing in his first ATP Tour final and is up to a career-high 36th in the live rankings. The 22-year-old has only lost one set so far and has beaten one seeded player. That was the fourth seed and defending champion Flavio Cobolli in round one.

Only Ugo Humbert has taken a set off him this week. He beat lucky loser Aleksandar Kovacevic in Friday's semi-final.

A win for Tommy Paul will take him back into the world's top 20. It will also give the 29-year-old his second ATP Tour clay court title of the year after winning in Houston. He has had some tough matches this week with a second round match against Tomas Martin Etcheverry that saw three tie-breaks played.

Friday's semi-final saw him come from a set down to defeat third seed Alex de Minaur. While he has played two matches fewer than his opponent, Paul has only been on court for five minutes fewer. Another long match looks likely here.

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Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.4 1.58
Betwinner
2.33 1.6
Bet365
2.3 1.62
Roobet
2.28 1.57
BC Game
2.28 1.57
Check all Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul odds

Who will win the Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul match is: Ignacio Buse wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul game on 23/05/2026 of the current ATP Hamburg Open season:

  • Ignacio Buse has a 45.45% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.4.
  • Tommy Paul has a 54.55% probability of winning facing Ignacio Buse ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.

Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ignacio Buse has a 45.45 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Ignacio Buse45.45 %
Tommy Paul54.55 %

Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Form

Ignacio Buse and Tommy Paul Last Matches

Ignacio Buse Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

22 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  2
Ignacio Buse

21 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Ignacio Buse
2 :  1
Ugo Humbert

20 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Ignacio Buse
2 :  0
Jakub Mensik

19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Ignacio Buse

17 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Ignacio Buse
2 :  0
Hugo Gaston

16 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Ignacio Buse
2 :  0
Niels McDonald
Tommy Paul Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

22 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

21 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Daniel Altmaier

19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

17 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Aleksandar Vukic
Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Ignacio Buse - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Buse has won a set in each of his last eight matches.
  2. Buse has only lost one set so far in this tournament.
  3. Paul has lost two sets in this Hamburg Open.
  4. Paul has lost at least one set in six of his last nine clay court matches.
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Our Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Prediction

A win for Ignacio Buse could make him as famous as fellow Peruvians Teofilo Cubilllas and dare we say, Paddington Bear. He has won six matches so far in Hamburg and four of those saw him lose five or fewer games in the match.

Tommy Paul will be a tough opponent and he was impressive when defeating third seed Alex de Minaur in the last four. He regularly drops sets in matches though and our Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul prediction is Ignacio Buse wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Ignacio Buse wins a set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.