Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
We return to the Toyota Center on Sunday for Game 4 of the NBA First Round Playoff series between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers lead the series 3-0 coming into tonight’s clash. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Houston Rockets looked like they were going to pull one back in Game 3 on Friday, but they came up painfully short, 112-108, in one of the widest finishes of recent years.
The Rockets became only the second team to blow a 6+ point lead in the final 30 seconds of a Playoff game in the last 29 years on Friday, and now find themselves on the brink of elimination.
Alperen Sengun led the team in Kevin Durant’s absence with 33 points and 16 rebounds. KD is a minor doubt for this one, while Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams are ruled out.
Meanwhile, what has made the Los Angeles Lakers’ lead in this series all the more impressive is that they have got to this position without the services of Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves.
In their absence, LeBron James has put the team on his shoulders once again and finished with 29 points and 13 rebounds in Game 3. Rui Hachimura and Marcus Smart also stepped up massively in the last match.
Doncic is set to miss this match as well, and Reaves is a doubt, but momentum is firmly with the Lakers now.
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Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.71 | 2.2 |
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1.69 | 2.16 |
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1.69 | 2.18 |
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1.71 | 2.2 |
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1.71 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers match is: under 212.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers game on 26/04/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Houston Rockets has a 47.06% chance to pick up the win against Los Angeles Lakers according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.71.
- There is a probability of 52.94% ⭐ for Los Angeles Lakers to win vs Houston Rockets with odds of 2.5 at Shangrila.
Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Form
Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Apr 2026 - NBA
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Apr 2026 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Apr 2026 - NBA
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31 Mar 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Players list
A. Thompson
R. Sheppard
T. Eason
J. Smith
M. Smart
L. Kennard
L. James
R. Hachimura
Substitutes
J. Davison
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
J. Green
D. Finney-Smith
J. Tate
D. Knecht
N. Smith Jr.
B. James
A. Reaves
J. Laravia
A. Thiero
J. Vanderbilt
M. Kleber
Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers Key Points
- Two of the three games in this series went under the total points line.
- Two of the three games in this series went under the total points line.
- The Rockets failed to score 100 points in two of the three games in this series.
- The Rockets have averaged 107.4 PPG at home this season.
- The Lakers have averaged 100.0 PPG against in this series.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction
The Houston Rockets are expected to have Kevin Durant back for this match, which should give them a boost, but given how much they have struggled on offence in this series, we’re expecting them to prioritise a big defensive performance here.
The Lakers firmly have the momentum coming into this one, and while Reaves could be fit to return, they may opt not to risk him given their 3-0 advantage. This is a tough one to pick, but we feel it will be a tight, low-scoring affair. Our Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction is under 212.5 points.
If your team in the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.