Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim and Hamburg clash in matchday five of the Bundesliga campaign, with both teams stuck on three points and closer to the relegation spots. This match on Saturday at the SNP Arena in Sinsheim between the 14th-placed ‘Kraichgauers’ and the 16th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ is likely to be a close affair with BTTS, our match prediction.
Both teams have an identical record (W1, L3) coming into this round. Hamburg start this matchday in the last relegation spot, with only goal difference separating the two teams.
A 3-1 loss away at Paderborn before the international break meant Hoffenheim lost four of their last five competitive matches (W1). The only exception came in the Bundesliga, where they won 2-1 against Stuttgart.
That result came at home, and Hoffenheim have three wins from their last five Bundesliga fixtures at this venue – drawing and losing once each. Further, they also won their last two Bundesliga games against Hamburg last season.
Hamburg come into this fixture after posting their first win of the league campaign – a 2-1 home victory over Koln before the break. It was not just their first points of the season but also their first goals of the league campaign! Hamburg will also look back to their first competitive win of the campaign – which came on the road in the DFB Pokal – for inspiration.
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Hoffenheim v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.41 | 5.2 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.79 | 5.43 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Hamburg match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Hoffenheim and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.21% for a win of Hoffenheim against Hamburg with odds of 1.49 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Hamburg is 8.67% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Hoffenheim with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Form
Hoffenheim and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
|
16
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 |
Hoffenheim and Hamburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Missing players
V. Coufal
Bernardo
A. Hajdari
M. Vuskovic
MidfielderA. Gronbaek
ForwardY. Poulsen
P. Daka
T. Moffi
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Hamburg
A. Daghim
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Hlozek
(2 Goals)
Y. Poulsen
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Capaldo
(1 Goals)
B. Conte
(2 Assists)
,
V. Coufal
(2 Assists)
,
A. Daghim
(2 Assists)
A. Gronbaek
(2 Assists)
Hoffenheim and Hamburg Stats in Bundesliga
Hoffenheim - Hamburg Key Points
- Both teams scored in nine of Hoffenheim’s last 11 Bundesliga games.
- In six of Hoffenheim’s last seven home league games, both teams scored.
- Ten of Hamburg’s last 14 league games have produced BTTS.
- Six of Hamburg’s last nine away league fixtures saw both teams score.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Prediction
Only goal difference separates these sides, who started this round in or near the relegation zone. That makes this game an early-season relegation six-pointer, although it is too early to write off the loser. Hoffenheim had an edge over Hamburg last season and would take three points here with glee.
Five of Hoffenheim’s last seven Bundesliga matches, including both head-to-head games last season, saw both teams score. That’s more likely to repeat in this fixture, and our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
