Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Time’s running out for Lecce in their pursuit to avoid Serie A relegation, as they come up against Hellas Verona in a Matchday 36 fixture on Sunday. This match at the Marcantonio Bentegodi between the 15th-placed Gialloblu and the 17th-placed Giallorossi comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Verona’s 32 points put them six points above the relegation zone with nine points left to play in the season. Lecce’s 27 points see them start this round only a point above the bottom three teams.
A 1-0 loss away at Inter Milan last weekend made it three defeats in a row for Verona. They are now winless in six league games (D3, L3), throwing some anxious faces about the relegation scrap.
The home venue hasn’t been helpful either, as Verona won just one of their last 11 home league games (D3, L7).
Lecce would love to take advantage of that poor record, especially as their season is still under threat. They are coming off a 1-0 home defeat to Napoli, which extended their winless run to 12 league fixtures (D4, L8).
A win here is likely to pull them out of the relegation zone, but that would need Lecce to reverse their poor form. They are also winless in five recent trips (D2, L3), making this a challenging game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hellas Verona v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 2.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.48 | 2.75 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hellas Verona and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Hellas Verona vs Lecce match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Hellas Verona and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.02% for a win of Hellas Verona against Lecce with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hellas Verona vs Lecce is 31.62% with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Hellas Verona with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
Hellas Verona - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hellas Verona Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona wins | 37.02% | 2.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 62.52% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.92% | 2.15 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hellas Verona | 16.31% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Hellas Verona vs Lecce Form
Hellas Verona and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
34 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -33 |
|
17
|
31 | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -32 |
Hellas Verona and Lecce Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
3 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
Hellas Verona vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
27 Nov 2023 - Serie A
7 May 2023 - Serie A
21 Jan 2023 - Serie A
26 Jan 2020 - Serie A
Hellas Verona against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Harroui
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
Most goals and assists
Hellas Verona
Lecce
C. Tengstedt
(6 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(11 Goals)
D. Lazovic
(3 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(4 Assists)
, 
T. Helgason
(4 Assists)
Hellas Verona - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce’s Serie A matches averaged 2.31 goals per fixture and only four clubs featured fewer goals.
- Verona’s last eight league games averaged 1.25 goals per fixture, the joint-lowest in Serie A during this period.
- In 12 of their last 14 league fixtures, Verona saw under 2.5 goals produced.
- Verona failed to score in seven of their last nine home league games.
- Four of Lecce’s last six Serie A matches produced fewer than three goals.
- Four of the last five league matches between these teams produced fewer than three goals.
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Our Hellas Verona vs Lecce Prediction
With just a point separating them from the relegation zone, Lecce will feel they need to turn the tide or risk getting relegated. Verona are in a slightly better position with a five-point buffer to their visitors, but they aren’t safe yet. With a poor scoring record that has pulled them down in recent home fixtures, Verona need to overturn their recent poor record to have a chance here. Goals could be in short supply here, looking at how poor these sides have been. Our Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hellas Verona Lecce
| Hellas Verona vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona wins | 2.2 | 2.5 | +13.6% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.75 | -11.3% |
| Lecce wins | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hellas Verona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 40.0% (-5.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Hellas Verona vs. Lecce game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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