Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League
South Korea - K-League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Action returns in the South Korean K League 1 with fifth-place Pohang Steelers traveling to face basement boys Gwangju FC on Saturday in Round 17 at Gwangju Football Stadium. With four wins in their last six matches, Steelers enter this clash on the front foot against a Gwangju FC side yet to snap their winless run since March 2026, hence our prediction in favor of the away side.
Gwangju FC have been the whipping boys so far this season in the South Korean top flight. Halfway into the campaign, the Gwangju-based outfit have found themselves bottom of the standings with just eight points from one win, five draws, and 10 losses.
Min-seo Moon's 64th-minute equalizer ensured Lee Jung-kyu's side saved a point in a dramatic 1–1 draw against second-place Ulsan HD last time out. However, that resulted in their extended run of matches without a win to 14, seven of those at the Gwangju Football Stadium.
Wanderson's brace and Lee Ho-Jae's 76th-minute winner saw 10-man Pohang Steelers edge seventh-place Anyang in a five-goal thriller (3–2) on the road at the weekend. Park Tae-ha's men are on a 10-match road stretch and have now won four of their last six outings, opening a five-point cushion over the relegation group. They have defeated Gwangju FC in the most recent two meetings between the two sides.
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Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.1 | 3.2 | 1.64 |
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5.37 | 3.58 | 1.7 |
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5.47 | 3.5 | 1.67 |
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5.51 | 3.62 | 1.64 |
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5.35 | 3.56 | 1.7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers?
Our prediction for the Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers match is: Pohang Steelers wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2026 between Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers in K-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.55% for a win of Gwangju FC against Pohang Steelers with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers is 20.17% with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC with odds of 1.92 at Roobet.
Gwangju FC - Pohang Steelers Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers wins | 64.28% | 1.92 at Roobet |
| Under 2.5 | 68.07% | 2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Pohang Steelers | 39.49% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Form
Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers's standings in the K-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
34 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -5 |
|
12
|
12 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -38 |
Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2026 - K-League
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
22 Mar 2026 - K-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
28 Mar 2026 - K-League
22 Mar 2026 - K-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
10 Aug 2025 - K-League
18 May 2025 - K-League
22 Mar 2025 - K-League
13 Sept 2024 - K-League
28 May 2024 - K-League
Gwangju FC against Pohang Steelers Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Kim
DefenderJ. Bae
Joao Pedro
P. Won-jae
I. Seung-kyeom
MidfielderK. Woo-jin
P. Sung-hyun
ForwardH. Fridjonsson
A. D'Avila Ba Loua
H. In-jae
DefenderY. Kim
S. Kim
J. Si-woo
MidfielderK. Ho-jin
L. Chang-woo
H. Seo-woong
S. Cho
H. Jung
Most goals and assists
Gwangju FC - Pohang Steelers Key Points
- Gwangju FC are winless in their last seven home matches.
- Gwangju FC have failed to win any of their last 14 matches.
- Pohang Steelers have won four of their last six matches, all of which on the road.
- Pohang Steelers have won their last two matches against Gwangju FC.
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Our Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction
Gwangju FC have endured a poor start to the season and faced another grim test against Pohang Steelers. They have collected just four points in their last 14 matches, failing to win any of them. That dismal run includes a seven-match winless run at home.
Pohang Steelers have impressed lately in their ongoing 10-match road trip and hold a significant 17-point advantage over Gwangju FC. They will also be confident of securing victory, having seen off Gwangju FC in both of their recent meetings. Our Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction : Pohang Steelers wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers
| Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC wins | 5.5 | 1001 | +18,100.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 1001 | +27,705.6% |
| Pohang Steelers wins | 1.57 | 1.92 | +22.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Pohang Steelers is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 52.1% (-11.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.