Gremio vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Relegation-threatened Gremio will welcome Sao Paulo to Arena do Gremio on matchday 22 of the Brasileirao Serie A. The visitors have struggled on the road, losing five of their last six away league matches. Meanwhile, Gremio have suffered just one defeat in their last three home games, backing our prediction for a home win.
Gremio currently sit 17th in the Brasileirao Serie A table with 22 points, occupying a relegation spot. They are just one place away from safety, with Santos and Internacional level on points above them.
The Immortal Tricolor are in a confident mood heading into this clash after a 1-0 home win against Mirassol in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16. They advanced to the quarter-finals thanks to a 2-1 aggregate victory.
Hopefully that outcome could serve as a confidence booster as they turn their attention to the league, where they are winless in three encounters, with their last match ending in a 1-1 home draw against Fluminense.
Sao Paulo, meanwhile, are in 12th place with 26 points and are one point behind a Copa Sudamericana spot.
Tricolor Paulista are also in a bad spot in terms of league form. Their last win was on April 26th, defeating Mirassol 1-0 at home. Since then, they've gone seven games without a win.
Their recent 1-1 away draw to Flamengo adds to the three draws they've recorded during this dreadful run.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Gremio v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.33 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.14 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.08 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.03 | 3.48 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gremio and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Gremio vs SAO Paulo match is: Gremio wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/08/2026 between Gremio and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.68% for a win of Gremio against SAO Paulo with odds of 2.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gremio vs SAO Paulo is 29.33% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Gremio with odds of 3.48 at Betwinner.
Gremio - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gremio SAO Paulo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 38.68% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 51.51% | 2.12 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 17.72% | 6 at Roobet |
Gremio vs SAO Paulo Form
Gremio and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
39 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
|
18
|
30 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -8 |
Gremio and SAO Paulo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Gremio vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Grando
DefenderCaio Paulista
M. Rocha
W. Kannemann
W. Leonardo
MidfielderDodi
G. Mec
L. Peerez
ForwardF. Amuzu
J. Enamorado
M. Braithwaite
M. Nascimento
C. Coronel
DefenderD. Duarte
Sabino
A. Buta
Iago
MidfielderCauly
D. Bobadilla
Newton
ForwardJoao Victor
A. Silva
P. dos Santos
G. Santana
Missing players
R. Toloi
A. Franco
ForwardLucas Moura
R. Francisco
Most goals and assists
Gremio
SAO Paulo
C. Vinicius
(10 Goals)
J. Calleri
(10 Goals)
C. Pavon
(4 Assists)
Wendell
(3 Assists)
Gremio - SAO Paulo Key Points
- Gremio have won 50% of their home league games this season.
- Sao Paulo are winless in their last seven league games.
- Gremio have won their last four home league games against Sao Paulo.
- Sao Paulo have lost six of their last eight away league games.
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Our Gremio vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Both sides head into this clash in poor league form, but there's enough reason to believe Gremio will walk away with all three points, with the hosts having won their last four home games against Sao Paulo.
Sao Paulo are also struggling for decent results at the moment and could find themselves on the receiving end of an unfavorable outcome in this fixture. And of course we cannot ignore their erratic away form, which has seen them go winless in eight outings with six defeats during this period. Our Gremio vs Sao Paulo prediction is Gremio wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gremio SAO Paulo
| Gremio vs SAO Paulo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 2.25 | 2.4 | +6.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
| SAO Paulo wins | 3.11 | 3.48 | +11.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 41.7% (-2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Gremio vs. SAO Paulo game!
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Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
