Greece vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Greece have a chance to extend their unbeaten start to Group A2 in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) when they host Germany on matchday four on Sunday. This match at the Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki between the first-placed ‘Pirate Ship’ and the third-placed ‘Die Mannschaft’ could extend Germany’s struggles, and our match prediction is a Greece win or draw.
With seven points (W2, D1), Greece are top of the standings with a two-point advantage over the Netherlands. Germany have four points (W1, D1, L1) and are one point further behind but are four points above the bottom.
Greece failed to keep a two-goal lead, eventually drawing 2-2 at home against the Netherlands on Thursday. That helped them stay unbeaten in this UNL cycle (W2, D1).
That included a 1-0 surprise away win on matchday two, but the Greeks have work to do at home – where they have won just one of their last five games (D1, L3).
Germany won 2-0 at home against Serbia on Thursday, posting their first win under Jurgen Klopp (W1, D1, L1). It was also the first win for the Germans across their last five games (D1, L3) and will hope to extend their winning momentum.
The visitors have lost only one of their last five competitive trips (W3, D1), so Germany will hope to extend that streak.
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Greece v Germany Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.7 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.87 | 3.89 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.7 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Germany?
Our prediction for the Greece vs Germany match is: Greece or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2026 between Greece and Germany in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.86% for a win of Greece against Germany with odds of 4.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Germany is 18.46% with odds of 3.9 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Germany vs Greece with odds of 2.04 at 22bet.
Greece vs Germany Form
Greece and Germany's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Greece and Germany Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Greece vs Germany Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Greece vs Germany last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
O. Vlachodimos
C. Mandas
DefenderG. Kyriakopoulos
G. Michailidis
K. Koulierakis
T. Tsapras
MidfielderC. Zafeiris
C. Mouzakitis
ForwardC. Kostoulas
G. Masouras
A. Douvikas
A. Tetteh
F. Dahmen
N. Atubolu
DefenderF. Jeltsch
D. Raum
MidfielderB. Conte
S. El Mala
L. Karl
M. Baur
V. Janelt
R. Baku
Y. Engelhardt
ForwardJ. Burkardt
Most goals and assists
Greece
Germany
A. Douvikas
(1 Goals)
,
C. Tzolis
(1 Goals)
,
D. Kourbelis
(1 Goals)
,
G. Masouras
(1 Goals)
,
F. Ioannidis
(1 Goals)
F. Nmecha
(1 Goals)
,
F. Wirtz
(1 Goals)
,
T. Bischof
(1 Goals)
K. Tsimikas
(1 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(1 Assists)
,
G. Masouras
(1 Assists)
,
F. Ioannidis
(1 Assists)
M. Mittelstadt
(1 Assists)
Greece and Germany Stats in UEFA Nations League
Greece - Germany Key Points
- Greece avoided defeat in five of their last six matches.
- Greece are undefeated in 20 of their last 23 UNL matches.
- Germany have failed to win four of their last five matches.
- Germany won just one of their last six UNL games.
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Our Greece vs Germany Prediction
Greece continue to surprise everyone by remaining unbeaten and topping the group standings. While they could extend their stay at the top with another win, even a draw could keep them in the quarter-finals race. Germany are yet to get any momentum under Klopp and still look shaky in their bid to stay in the top-two race.
Greece won the reverse fixture 1-0, and while a repeat result may be out of reach, the hosts could fancy avoiding a defeat. Our Greece vs Germany prediction is Greece or draw.
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