Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
The top match in the Kenyan Premier League this weekend will see Tusker FC host Gor Mahia as the competition enters Round 10. The home team is currently placed seventh on 12 points, four behind league leaders Gor Mahia. Let’s have a look at the prediction.
After missing out on the title last year, Gor Mahia have shown real hunger this time. They have two games in hand but have already opened up a one-point lead at the league summit.
Into this game, they carry a six-game unbeaten run, and they won five of them. Before the international break, they trounced reigning champions Police 2-0 and will be confident of winning here too.
The Tusker aren’t coming into this game on a very high note. They suffered their third loss of the season in their last game, a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Police.
The Brewers’ inconsistent run has them on three wins, three draws, and as many defeats going into the next round. Against Gor Mahia, this match should offer the hosts some hope, as they are unbeaten in their last two meetings.
Tusker will be looking at their recent away performances with some conviction, having gone undefeated in three matches, winning two. However, they haven't scored more than a goal in their last 10 away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gor Mahia v Tusker Football Club Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 2.93 | 4.76 |
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1.82 | 2.93 | 4.76 |
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1.82 | 2.93 | 4.76 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gor Mahia and Tusker Football Club?
Our prediction for the Gor Mahia vs Tusker Football Club match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Gor Mahia and Tusker Football Club in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.84% for a win of Gor Mahia against Tusker Football Club with odds of 1.82 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gor Mahia vs Tusker Football Club is 35.25% with odds of 2.93 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Tusker Football Club vs Gor Mahia with odds of 4.76 at Melbet.
Gor Mahia vs Tusker Football Club Form
Gor Mahia and Tusker Football Club's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
|
7
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
Gor Mahia and Tusker Football Club Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia vs Tusker Football Club Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Jan 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Oct 2023 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia - Tusker Football Club Key Points
- Seven of Tusker’s last 10 away matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Only three of these teams’ last 10 meetings had over 2.5 goals.
- Tusker didn’t score more than a goal in their last 10 away games.
- None of Gor Mahia’s last three matches had over three goals scored.
- Seven of Gor Mahia’s last 10 outings at home produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Gor Mahia vs Tusker Football Club Prediction
Gor Mahia have the upper hand coming into this game, as they are on a good run of form. They haven't lost in their last six outings, a run they will be keen to carry right into this clash. The former champions have only lost once to Tusker in their last six meetings.
Tusker have had a shaky run in recent times, especially when playing away from home. Such has been reflected in their scoring form, with low scores being the norm. It is the same case with Gor Mahia, so we expect a low-scoring match. Our prediction for Gor Mahia v Tusker is for less than 2.5 goals.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Gor Mahia vs. Tusker Football Club game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Gor Mahia and Tusker Football Club when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Kenyan Premier League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
